1 00:00:09,430 --> 00:00:07,590 so what i'll focus on today is the 2 00:00:11,150 --> 00:00:09,440 content of my book which you can see in 3 00:00:13,270 --> 00:00:11,160 the middle of this slide 4 00:00:15,669 --> 00:00:13,280 extraterrestrial and if i had to 5 00:00:16,630 --> 00:00:15,679 summarize it with one sentence i would 6 00:00:18,150 --> 00:00:16,640 say 7 00:00:20,070 --> 00:00:18,160 when you are not ready to find 8 00:00:23,189 --> 00:00:20,080 exceptional things 9 00:00:25,910 --> 00:00:23,199 you would never discover them 10 00:00:28,630 --> 00:00:25,920 and what you see on the right is 11 00:00:31,189 --> 00:00:28,640 the cover of a textbook that 12 00:00:32,950 --> 00:00:31,199 i published a few months ago uh with 13 00:00:35,590 --> 00:00:32,960 harvard university press together with 14 00:00:39,510 --> 00:00:35,600 my former postdoc manasville lingam it 15 00:00:40,709 --> 00:00:39,520 has more than a thousand pages of 16 00:00:43,670 --> 00:00:40,719 material 17 00:00:45,510 --> 00:00:43,680 that serves as the foundation for the 18 00:00:48,549 --> 00:00:45,520 search for life which is one of the most 19 00:00:50,630 --> 00:00:48,559 exciting frontiers in science 20 00:00:53,029 --> 00:00:50,640 and what you see on the left is a 21 00:00:55,670 --> 00:00:53,039 photograph of a photograph 22 00:00:57,029 --> 00:00:55,680 taken by the german photographer her 23 00:00:59,029 --> 00:00:57,039 linda quillbell 24 00:01:01,189 --> 00:00:59,039 who presented it at an exhibit an 25 00:01:03,189 --> 00:01:01,199 exhibit 26 00:01:05,509 --> 00:01:03,199 on the walls of the berlin brandberg 27 00:01:07,830 --> 00:01:05,519 academy of science and humanities in 28 00:01:10,310 --> 00:01:07,840 october 2020 29 00:01:12,469 --> 00:01:10,320 and she asked me to write on the palm of 30 00:01:15,190 --> 00:01:12,479 my hand the question that i regard is 31 00:01:16,469 --> 00:01:15,200 most significant in science 32 00:01:21,429 --> 00:01:16,479 which is 33 00:01:26,710 --> 00:01:24,710 actually a few weeks ago i was contacted 34 00:01:29,109 --> 00:01:26,720 by a rabbi 35 00:01:31,830 --> 00:01:29,119 during the high holidays 36 00:01:34,710 --> 00:01:31,840 of the jewish religion and 37 00:01:38,710 --> 00:01:34,720 he told me that he plans to speak 38 00:01:42,950 --> 00:01:38,720 about my book extraterrestrial and 39 00:01:44,310 --> 00:01:42,960 wrote a sermon about it on his website 40 00:01:46,149 --> 00:01:44,320 and 41 00:01:48,550 --> 00:01:46,159 as a result 42 00:01:51,030 --> 00:01:48,560 a colleague of mine said next time we 43 00:01:53,109 --> 00:01:51,040 meet for dinner my wife and i will ask 44 00:01:55,510 --> 00:01:53,119 you to give us a sermon 45 00:01:58,709 --> 00:01:55,520 i mean that i realized as a result of 46 00:02:01,510 --> 00:01:58,719 this that actually what i discuss is of 47 00:02:04,310 --> 00:02:01,520 existential importance that people can 48 00:02:06,950 --> 00:02:04,320 connect to religious beliefs 49 00:02:09,990 --> 00:02:06,960 my reply to my colleague was 50 00:02:15,030 --> 00:02:10,000 that i would never lead the congregation 51 00:02:20,229 --> 00:02:17,350 and actually a few weeks ago the 52 00:02:23,990 --> 00:02:20,239 congress called for a permanent office 53 00:02:26,309 --> 00:02:24,000 to address unidentified aerial phenomena 54 00:02:27,910 --> 00:02:26,319 these are objects whose nature is 55 00:02:31,430 --> 00:02:27,920 unclear 56 00:02:35,750 --> 00:02:33,110 now what i've learned over several 57 00:02:39,030 --> 00:02:35,760 decades of practicing astronomy is a 58 00:02:41,990 --> 00:02:39,040 sense of cosmic modesty 59 00:02:44,150 --> 00:02:42,000 and i say that because you know if you 60 00:02:45,830 --> 00:02:44,160 look back in history humans tended to 61 00:02:49,190 --> 00:02:45,840 think that the play 62 00:02:51,910 --> 00:02:49,200 is about us in fact i have an essay in 63 00:02:53,589 --> 00:02:51,920 medium just about that was published 64 00:02:56,070 --> 00:02:53,599 this morning 65 00:02:58,630 --> 00:02:56,080 but the play the cosmic play is not 66 00:03:00,309 --> 00:02:58,640 about us we are not at the center of the 67 00:03:03,589 --> 00:03:00,319 universe like the ancient greek 68 00:03:05,830 --> 00:03:03,599 philosopher aristotle argued 69 00:03:07,430 --> 00:03:05,840 and about half of the sun-like stars 70 00:03:09,430 --> 00:03:07,440 have a planet the size of the earth 71 00:03:10,309 --> 00:03:09,440 roughly the same separation 72 00:03:12,869 --> 00:03:10,319 so 73 00:03:15,430 --> 00:03:12,879 moreover what we find in our backyard is 74 00:03:17,030 --> 00:03:15,440 not unique or special there are more 75 00:03:19,350 --> 00:03:17,040 habitable earths 76 00:03:21,670 --> 00:03:19,360 in the observable volume of the universe 77 00:03:24,710 --> 00:03:21,680 then there are grains of sand 78 00:03:27,110 --> 00:03:24,720 on all beaches on earth 79 00:03:29,190 --> 00:03:27,120 and when i see a painting like this one 80 00:03:30,949 --> 00:03:29,200 of an emperor standing 81 00:03:33,750 --> 00:03:30,959 very proud of himself because he 82 00:03:36,070 --> 00:03:33,760 conquered a piece of land here on earth 83 00:03:37,270 --> 00:03:36,080 that doesn't impress me because it's not 84 00:03:38,630 --> 00:03:37,280 very different 85 00:03:41,750 --> 00:03:38,640 from an ant 86 00:03:45,270 --> 00:03:41,760 hugging a single grain of sand on the 87 00:03:47,030 --> 00:03:45,280 landscape of a huge beach 88 00:03:49,830 --> 00:03:47,040 but i can understand where it's coming 89 00:03:51,670 --> 00:03:49,840 from when my daughters were young 90 00:03:53,270 --> 00:03:51,680 they tended to think very highly of 91 00:03:56,229 --> 00:03:53,280 themselves because they compared 92 00:03:57,589 --> 00:03:56,239 themselves to family members 93 00:03:58,830 --> 00:03:57,599 at home 94 00:04:02,070 --> 00:03:58,840 and when we took them to the 95 00:04:04,149 --> 00:04:02,080 kindergarten they found other kids that 96 00:04:05,670 --> 00:04:04,159 may be smarter than they are 97 00:04:07,350 --> 00:04:05,680 and of course that changed their 98 00:04:09,750 --> 00:04:07,360 perspective 99 00:04:10,949 --> 00:04:09,760 so the only way for our civilization to 100 00:04:14,949 --> 00:04:10,959 mature 101 00:04:15,750 --> 00:04:14,959 is to meet others 102 00:04:18,469 --> 00:04:15,760 and 103 00:04:20,629 --> 00:04:18,479 one thing we know by observing the sky 104 00:04:22,550 --> 00:04:20,639 is that most of the stars form billions 105 00:04:24,230 --> 00:04:22,560 of years before the sun 106 00:04:26,870 --> 00:04:24,240 we can monitor the star formation 107 00:04:29,189 --> 00:04:26,880 history of the universe 108 00:04:31,189 --> 00:04:29,199 and that means that given the fact that 109 00:04:32,550 --> 00:04:31,199 half of the sun-like stars have a planet 110 00:04:33,670 --> 00:04:32,560 the size of the earth the same 111 00:04:35,030 --> 00:04:33,680 separation 112 00:04:37,670 --> 00:04:35,040 it means that 113 00:04:40,830 --> 00:04:37,680 there could have been a civilization as 114 00:04:44,469 --> 00:04:40,840 mature as we are or more than that 115 00:04:46,870 --> 00:04:44,479 technologically a billion years ago 116 00:04:49,430 --> 00:04:46,880 and if they developed artificial 117 00:04:51,350 --> 00:04:49,440 intelligence systems like we do 118 00:04:54,230 --> 00:04:51,360 where these systems are currently 119 00:04:56,870 --> 00:04:54,240 driving cars and in the future they'll 120 00:04:58,150 --> 00:04:56,880 make medical decisions they can become 121 00:05:00,390 --> 00:04:58,160 autonomous 122 00:05:02,070 --> 00:05:00,400 they will not need guidance from us all 123 00:05:03,590 --> 00:05:02,080 they will need is an early phase of 124 00:05:05,510 --> 00:05:03,600 machine learning 125 00:05:08,950 --> 00:05:05,520 and we can think of them as our 126 00:05:12,629 --> 00:05:08,960 technological kids that we educate early 127 00:05:15,749 --> 00:05:12,639 on and then send to the world 128 00:05:18,629 --> 00:05:15,759 and that means we can send them to space 129 00:05:20,469 --> 00:05:18,639 so far we send only relatively dumb 130 00:05:23,749 --> 00:05:20,479 machines to space 131 00:05:27,110 --> 00:05:23,759 the perseverance rover is just a robot 132 00:05:29,749 --> 00:05:27,120 operated by people at jpl 133 00:05:32,230 --> 00:05:29,759 but you can imagine sending 134 00:05:33,670 --> 00:05:32,240 an ai system 135 00:05:36,870 --> 00:05:33,680 equipped with 136 00:05:39,510 --> 00:05:36,880 3d printing capabilities so that it can 137 00:05:42,790 --> 00:05:39,520 repair damaged components and it can 138 00:05:45,350 --> 00:05:42,800 operate autonomously without needing any 139 00:05:48,070 --> 00:05:45,360 guidance from earth and that's very 140 00:05:50,550 --> 00:05:48,080 useful when you go very far away because 141 00:05:53,749 --> 00:05:50,560 even the nearest star is four light 142 00:05:55,430 --> 00:05:53,759 years away takes four years for light to 143 00:05:57,990 --> 00:05:55,440 traverse the distance to the nearest 144 00:06:01,110 --> 00:05:58,000 star that means that such a system 145 00:06:04,070 --> 00:06:01,120 cannot really wait to get guidance from 146 00:06:06,390 --> 00:06:04,080 us in order to decide what to do 147 00:06:07,830 --> 00:06:06,400 but if we can imagine sending systems 148 00:06:09,350 --> 00:06:07,840 like that 149 00:06:11,830 --> 00:06:09,360 then another civilization that's 150 00:06:14,070 --> 00:06:11,840 predated us by a billion years may have 151 00:06:16,230 --> 00:06:14,080 done so already 152 00:06:19,430 --> 00:06:16,240 and a billion years is enough to 153 00:06:21,270 --> 00:06:19,440 populate the entire milky way galaxy 154 00:06:23,749 --> 00:06:21,280 so are we 155 00:06:25,189 --> 00:06:23,759 living in such a reality that's not a 156 00:06:26,790 --> 00:06:25,199 philosophical 157 00:06:32,950 --> 00:06:26,800 question 158 00:06:37,350 --> 00:06:35,749 and we should not repeat the mistake 159 00:06:40,710 --> 00:06:37,360 that philosophers 160 00:06:42,870 --> 00:06:40,720 made four decades four centuries ago 161 00:06:44,870 --> 00:06:42,880 when they refused to look through 162 00:06:46,469 --> 00:06:44,880 galileo's telescope 163 00:06:48,469 --> 00:06:46,479 and they argued that the sun moves 164 00:06:52,150 --> 00:06:48,479 around the earth 165 00:06:53,909 --> 00:06:52,160 and that only maintained their ignorance 166 00:06:59,110 --> 00:06:53,919 today they would have 167 00:07:03,909 --> 00:07:02,070 and so the lesson from that is that we 168 00:07:06,469 --> 00:07:03,919 should find the answers through 169 00:07:08,870 --> 00:07:06,479 telescopes and that's the objective of 170 00:07:11,189 --> 00:07:08,880 the galileo project that i established 171 00:07:12,710 --> 00:07:11,199 in july this year 172 00:07:14,070 --> 00:07:12,720 thanks to 173 00:07:15,029 --> 00:07:14,080 donations 174 00:07:16,629 --> 00:07:15,039 up to 175 00:07:18,790 --> 00:07:16,639 two million dollars from people that 176 00:07:21,110 --> 00:07:18,800 visited the porch of my home after 177 00:07:24,870 --> 00:07:21,120 reading my book extraterrestrial they 178 00:07:27,430 --> 00:07:24,880 decided to support my research and if i 179 00:07:30,710 --> 00:07:27,440 had to define this project i would say 180 00:07:32,230 --> 00:07:30,720 extraordinary conservatism leads to 181 00:07:34,150 --> 00:07:32,240 extraordinary 182 00:07:35,830 --> 00:07:34,160 ignorance so 183 00:07:37,670 --> 00:07:35,840 we should look out 184 00:07:39,670 --> 00:07:37,680 we've been searching for example for 185 00:07:43,029 --> 00:07:39,680 dark matter for four 186 00:07:45,029 --> 00:07:43,039 decades without finding it 187 00:07:47,350 --> 00:07:45,039 hundreds of millions of dollars 188 00:07:49,749 --> 00:07:47,360 if we now engage for the first time with 189 00:07:50,950 --> 00:07:49,759 the galileo project in searching for 190 00:07:53,350 --> 00:07:50,960 equipment 191 00:07:55,270 --> 00:07:53,360 sent by other civilizations that we can 192 00:07:57,589 --> 00:07:55,280 find near earth 193 00:08:00,629 --> 00:07:57,599 and just imagine us searching for four 194 00:08:02,550 --> 00:08:00,639 decades 40 years and spending hundreds 195 00:08:05,029 --> 00:08:02,560 of millions of dollars 196 00:08:07,990 --> 00:08:05,039 if we don't find anything at the end of 197 00:08:10,390 --> 00:08:08,000 these four decades we will be exactly at 198 00:08:12,550 --> 00:08:10,400 the same point as the people in the 199 00:08:15,029 --> 00:08:12,560 mainstream of astronomy that are 200 00:08:17,029 --> 00:08:15,039 searching for dark matter exactly at the 201 00:08:19,510 --> 00:08:17,039 same point that they are now because 202 00:08:22,309 --> 00:08:19,520 they already spend those funds and they 203 00:08:25,510 --> 00:08:22,319 already spent 40 years 204 00:08:27,029 --> 00:08:25,520 and why is this subject not funded 205 00:08:30,309 --> 00:08:27,039 that's what the galileo project is 206 00:08:33,029 --> 00:08:30,319 trying to fix to change 207 00:08:36,310 --> 00:08:33,039 we plan to look through new telescopes 208 00:08:38,389 --> 00:08:36,320 it's not a speculative notion to imagine 209 00:08:42,790 --> 00:08:38,399 that the technological civilization like 210 00:08:47,430 --> 00:08:46,150 and we sent out voyager new horizons to 211 00:08:48,790 --> 00:08:47,440 space 212 00:08:52,310 --> 00:08:48,800 now 213 00:08:54,949 --> 00:08:52,320 the galileo project has two major tracks 214 00:08:56,550 --> 00:08:54,959 one is to find objects near earth in the 215 00:08:58,790 --> 00:08:56,560 earth's atmosphere 216 00:09:02,310 --> 00:08:58,800 and one thing to realize in the context 217 00:09:04,949 --> 00:09:02,320 of that is that a meter size telescope 218 00:09:08,310 --> 00:09:04,959 can obtain a megapixel image 219 00:09:10,870 --> 00:09:08,320 an image that has a million pixels 220 00:09:12,470 --> 00:09:10,880 of a human size object 221 00:09:15,750 --> 00:09:12,480 at a distance 222 00:09:20,310 --> 00:09:17,829 and you can buy such a telescope on the 223 00:09:24,310 --> 00:09:20,320 web online i just found it a few weeks 224 00:09:27,269 --> 00:09:24,320 ago you can click add to the bag 225 00:09:28,710 --> 00:09:27,279 and it costs half a million dollars 226 00:09:30,230 --> 00:09:28,720 so apparently there are people willing 227 00:09:32,470 --> 00:09:30,240 to add it to their bag for half a 228 00:09:33,670 --> 00:09:32,480 million dollars 229 00:09:37,190 --> 00:09:33,680 now 230 00:09:40,070 --> 00:09:37,200 the goal is to obtain a high resolution 231 00:09:41,670 --> 00:09:40,080 image of an unidentified aerial 232 00:09:43,829 --> 00:09:41,680 phenomena 233 00:09:46,870 --> 00:09:43,839 using multiple detectors both in the 234 00:09:48,870 --> 00:09:46,880 infrared the optical perhaps using radar 235 00:09:51,030 --> 00:09:48,880 systems 236 00:09:52,870 --> 00:09:51,040 and if you get a high resolution image a 237 00:09:54,710 --> 00:09:52,880 megapixel image 238 00:09:56,949 --> 00:09:54,720 you could in principle 239 00:09:57,910 --> 00:09:56,959 distinguish a label 240 00:10:01,990 --> 00:09:57,920 saying 241 00:10:05,269 --> 00:10:02,000 made on exoplanet y 242 00:10:08,470 --> 00:10:05,279 from a label saying made in china or 243 00:10:12,069 --> 00:10:10,230 which would not be very interesting for 244 00:10:14,389 --> 00:10:12,079 me as a scientist i don't care much 245 00:10:16,550 --> 00:10:14,399 about birds if we see a bird i'll be 246 00:10:20,069 --> 00:10:16,560 glad to transfer the high resolution 247 00:10:22,069 --> 00:10:20,079 image of a bird to a zoologist 248 00:10:27,430 --> 00:10:22,079 and a human-made object would be as 249 00:10:31,110 --> 00:10:28,870 we look for something else it's a 250 00:10:33,110 --> 00:10:31,120 fishing expedition 251 00:10:35,829 --> 00:10:33,120 we might find that we have nothing 252 00:10:38,630 --> 00:10:35,839 unusual that would so be it that would 253 00:10:40,470 --> 00:10:38,640 be one possible conclusion 254 00:10:42,790 --> 00:10:40,480 and then the second component of the 255 00:10:44,710 --> 00:10:42,800 galileo project is to search for 256 00:10:47,430 --> 00:10:44,720 interstellar objects that enter the 257 00:10:49,910 --> 00:10:47,440 solar system that do not look like the 258 00:10:51,509 --> 00:10:49,920 rocks we have seen before in the solar 259 00:10:53,750 --> 00:10:51,519 system 260 00:10:55,430 --> 00:10:53,760 the first such object 261 00:10:57,350 --> 00:10:55,440 was named 262 00:10:59,030 --> 00:10:57,360 and it didn't look like a comet or an 263 00:11:00,630 --> 00:10:59,040 asteroid and i'll discuss it in a few 264 00:11:02,790 --> 00:11:00,640 minutes 265 00:11:05,350 --> 00:11:02,800 and so we want to find more of the same 266 00:11:07,190 --> 00:11:05,360 and take a high resolution image 267 00:11:10,790 --> 00:11:07,200 and there is an opportunity for 268 00:11:12,949 --> 00:11:10,800 crowdfunding which is described 269 00:11:16,389 --> 00:11:12,959 on our website you can see the link at 270 00:11:17,990 --> 00:11:17,190 so 271 00:11:21,030 --> 00:11:18,000 on 272 00:11:22,949 --> 00:11:21,040 june 25th this year 273 00:11:25,430 --> 00:11:22,959 the intelligence agencies delivered a 274 00:11:27,829 --> 00:11:25,440 report to congress and they basically 275 00:11:30,069 --> 00:11:27,839 said that they are not doing their job 276 00:11:31,190 --> 00:11:30,079 which is quite unusual for a government 277 00:11:34,630 --> 00:11:31,200 agency 278 00:11:37,350 --> 00:11:34,640 they said that there were at least 143 279 00:11:39,829 --> 00:11:37,360 incidents where objects were identified 280 00:11:42,710 --> 00:11:39,839 in the sky above the us 281 00:11:45,110 --> 00:11:42,720 whose nature is unclear 282 00:11:47,430 --> 00:11:45,120 so at that point it became clear to me 283 00:11:48,470 --> 00:11:47,440 that this subject needs to move away 284 00:11:53,030 --> 00:11:48,480 from 285 00:11:55,990 --> 00:11:53,040 government officials 286 00:11:59,269 --> 00:11:56,000 to the realm of science 287 00:12:01,509 --> 00:11:59,279 because it's unhealthy for this subject 288 00:12:03,829 --> 00:12:01,519 to be ridiculed by the scientific 289 00:12:05,910 --> 00:12:03,839 community while at the same time the 290 00:12:08,550 --> 00:12:05,920 most conservative organization that we 291 00:12:10,870 --> 00:12:08,560 know of the government admits that there 292 00:12:12,389 --> 00:12:10,880 are these objects how is that possible 293 00:12:14,550 --> 00:12:12,399 that the scientific community which is 294 00:12:17,670 --> 00:12:14,560 supposed to be open-minded 295 00:12:20,710 --> 00:12:17,680 blue sky in its opinions 296 00:12:23,430 --> 00:12:20,720 not looking at the blue sky ridiculing 297 00:12:25,190 --> 00:12:23,440 the subject leaving this for speculation 298 00:12:27,990 --> 00:12:25,200 by the general public 299 00:12:30,710 --> 00:12:28,000 that doesn't make much sense 300 00:12:35,110 --> 00:12:30,720 actually it's the duty of scientists to 301 00:12:39,110 --> 00:12:36,710 and that's 302 00:12:41,750 --> 00:12:39,120 the goal of the galileo project 303 00:12:43,910 --> 00:12:41,760 that we inaugurated the month after this 304 00:12:46,310 --> 00:12:43,920 report came out 305 00:12:48,629 --> 00:12:46,320 the idea is to have open data 306 00:12:50,949 --> 00:12:48,639 that is assembled by instruments that we 307 00:12:53,190 --> 00:12:50,959 have full control over that are 308 00:12:56,230 --> 00:12:53,200 optimized for the purpose of identifying 309 00:12:58,470 --> 00:12:56,240 the nature of these unidentified aerial 310 00:13:00,949 --> 00:12:58,480 phenomena 311 00:13:02,470 --> 00:13:00,959 and here is the research team 312 00:13:04,230 --> 00:13:02,480 and 313 00:13:06,870 --> 00:13:04,240 you can see the various people in 314 00:13:08,790 --> 00:13:06,880 particular biatris who uh 315 00:13:11,030 --> 00:13:08,800 villaroel who is 316 00:13:13,030 --> 00:13:11,040 a member of your organization you can 317 00:13:16,949 --> 00:13:13,040 see her on the on the right 318 00:13:19,269 --> 00:13:16,959 also alan stern he's the pi on nasa's 319 00:13:21,509 --> 00:13:19,279 new horizon 320 00:13:23,430 --> 00:13:21,519 so there are many people involved and 321 00:13:25,990 --> 00:13:23,440 exceptional scientists 322 00:13:27,829 --> 00:13:26,000 uh mostly astronomers 323 00:13:30,629 --> 00:13:27,839 that we have also in a scientific 324 00:13:32,550 --> 00:13:30,639 advisory board that you can see here 325 00:13:33,990 --> 00:13:32,560 you might identify 326 00:13:36,470 --> 00:13:34,000 one of the people here if you use 327 00:13:40,389 --> 00:13:36,480 mathematica stephen wolfram 328 00:13:44,470 --> 00:13:42,069 and then we have a philanthropic 329 00:13:46,069 --> 00:13:44,480 advisory board and a public outreach 330 00:13:48,310 --> 00:13:46,079 group 331 00:13:50,550 --> 00:13:48,320 and a lot of affiliates i should say i 332 00:13:52,389 --> 00:13:50,560 got i received thousands of 333 00:13:55,110 --> 00:13:52,399 emails from people who are 334 00:13:58,470 --> 00:13:55,120 uh happy to contribute uh from their 335 00:14:00,310 --> 00:13:58,480 expertise to the project 336 00:14:03,110 --> 00:14:00,320 now the big question is what's the 337 00:14:06,550 --> 00:14:03,120 future of humanity 338 00:14:08,470 --> 00:14:06,560 currently all our eggs are in one basket 339 00:14:11,189 --> 00:14:08,480 here on earth 340 00:14:13,350 --> 00:14:11,199 but i can imagine that you know we might 341 00:14:16,230 --> 00:14:13,360 want to spread them just to avoid a 342 00:14:18,710 --> 00:14:16,240 catastrophe and i call that nox 343 00:14:20,790 --> 00:14:18,720 spaceship an analogy to the biblical 344 00:14:21,990 --> 00:14:20,800 story of knox ark 345 00:14:25,350 --> 00:14:22,000 where noah 346 00:14:28,629 --> 00:14:25,360 built an ark to put all the animals and 347 00:14:31,590 --> 00:14:28,639 save them from the great flood 348 00:14:35,110 --> 00:14:31,600 and we have risks here on earth 349 00:14:36,310 --> 00:14:35,120 uh the there are either self-inflicted 350 00:14:38,790 --> 00:14:36,320 uh by 351 00:14:40,069 --> 00:14:38,800 internal threats you know we're changing 352 00:14:41,030 --> 00:14:40,079 the climate 353 00:14:42,829 --> 00:14:41,040 we are 354 00:14:45,990 --> 00:14:42,839 uh initiating 355 00:14:48,389 --> 00:14:46,000 wars uh there are pandemics who knows 356 00:14:50,150 --> 00:14:48,399 where the pandemic came from naturally 357 00:14:50,949 --> 00:14:50,160 or from a lab 358 00:14:52,870 --> 00:14:50,959 uh 359 00:14:54,629 --> 00:14:52,880 there are all kinds of technological and 360 00:14:55,750 --> 00:14:54,639 political catastrophes that we can 361 00:14:58,389 --> 00:14:55,760 imagine 362 00:15:00,870 --> 00:14:58,399 but there are also external threats from 363 00:15:02,230 --> 00:15:00,880 the impact of asteroids just like the 364 00:15:06,629 --> 00:15:02,240 dinosaurs 365 00:15:09,590 --> 00:15:06,639 were killed 66 million years ago when a 366 00:15:10,829 --> 00:15:09,600 rock the size of manhattan island 367 00:15:13,829 --> 00:15:10,839 impacted 368 00:15:14,629 --> 00:15:13,839 earth and eventually the sun will boil 369 00:15:16,470 --> 00:15:14,639 off 370 00:15:19,269 --> 00:15:16,480 all oceans 371 00:15:21,829 --> 00:15:19,279 in a billion years or so 372 00:15:25,030 --> 00:15:21,839 so we need to go to space and here is my 373 00:15:27,430 --> 00:15:25,040 personal journey from a farm to space 374 00:15:30,030 --> 00:15:27,440 exploration just a few days ago i was 375 00:15:32,790 --> 00:15:30,040 invited to a forum i had about 376 00:15:34,870 --> 00:15:32,800 1250 interviews over the past seven 377 00:15:36,470 --> 00:15:34,880 months since my book appeared so quite a 378 00:15:39,509 --> 00:15:36,480 hectic schedule but 379 00:15:40,389 --> 00:15:39,519 uh a few days ago i was invited to a 380 00:15:43,269 --> 00:15:40,399 forum 381 00:15:45,749 --> 00:15:43,279 and they put all my titles and then 382 00:15:48,150 --> 00:15:45,759 finally my name and i said 383 00:15:51,110 --> 00:15:48,160 no forget about my titles i don't care 384 00:15:53,030 --> 00:15:51,120 much about them just put my name and say 385 00:15:55,430 --> 00:15:53,040 a farm boy 386 00:15:57,990 --> 00:15:55,440 and that's because i'm very proud of the 387 00:16:00,949 --> 00:15:58,000 fact that i was born on a farm i was not 388 00:16:02,710 --> 00:16:00,959 groomed as a university professor 389 00:16:04,870 --> 00:16:02,720 unlike many of my colleagues that think 390 00:16:07,990 --> 00:16:04,880 very highly of themselves i mean i was 391 00:16:10,470 --> 00:16:08,000 i'm still just a farm boy and you can 392 00:16:11,509 --> 00:16:10,480 see a picture of me at age 7 on the top 393 00:16:15,350 --> 00:16:11,519 left 394 00:16:17,189 --> 00:16:15,360 i was born 59 years ago 395 00:16:19,749 --> 00:16:17,199 and then the second 396 00:16:21,030 --> 00:16:19,759 photo shows me collecting eggs every 397 00:16:22,949 --> 00:16:21,040 afternoon 398 00:16:25,189 --> 00:16:22,959 we had chickens 399 00:16:26,949 --> 00:16:25,199 and one thing led to another 400 00:16:29,910 --> 00:16:26,959 i was mostly interested in philosophy 401 00:16:31,509 --> 00:16:29,920 early on at any event i ended up as the 402 00:16:34,069 --> 00:16:31,519 chair of the astronomy department at 403 00:16:37,990 --> 00:16:34,079 harvard for nine years the longest 404 00:16:40,629 --> 00:16:38,000 serving chair and at the bottom left 405 00:16:43,110 --> 00:16:40,639 you see a photo of a visit by 406 00:16:45,829 --> 00:16:43,120 entrepreneur from silicon valley yuri 407 00:16:48,150 --> 00:16:45,839 milner that came to my office sat on the 408 00:16:51,030 --> 00:16:48,160 sofa in front of me and asked me whether 409 00:16:53,269 --> 00:16:51,040 i'm willing to lead a project to visit 410 00:16:57,749 --> 00:16:53,279 the nearest star 411 00:16:58,710 --> 00:16:57,759 light years away 412 00:17:00,710 --> 00:16:58,720 so 413 00:17:02,829 --> 00:17:00,720 it takes like four years to get there if 414 00:17:05,189 --> 00:17:02,839 you want to get there within our 415 00:17:07,750 --> 00:17:05,199 lifetime it means that we need to get 416 00:17:09,669 --> 00:17:07,760 there in 20 years or so and that means 417 00:17:12,150 --> 00:17:09,679 that we need a spacecraft that moves at 418 00:17:14,870 --> 00:17:12,160 the fifth of the speed of light 419 00:17:16,789 --> 00:17:14,880 and that's a thousand times faster than 420 00:17:20,230 --> 00:17:16,799 the chemical rockets that we have 421 00:17:22,470 --> 00:17:20,240 produced so far so that was a challenge 422 00:17:25,429 --> 00:17:22,480 but i came up with a concept and we 423 00:17:27,429 --> 00:17:25,439 announced the project in april 2016. you 424 00:17:30,230 --> 00:17:27,439 can see it in the middle bottom 425 00:17:34,950 --> 00:17:30,240 photo and that was in the company of 426 00:17:37,110 --> 00:17:34,960 stephen hawking and freeman dyson 427 00:17:40,070 --> 00:17:37,120 so here is an artist illustration of the 428 00:17:41,909 --> 00:17:40,080 solar system it extends halfway to the 429 00:17:45,270 --> 00:17:41,919 nearest star 430 00:17:47,110 --> 00:17:45,280 and the oort cloud contains 431 00:17:49,430 --> 00:17:47,120 the bricks 432 00:17:51,350 --> 00:17:49,440 the building blocks that were used 433 00:17:53,909 --> 00:17:51,360 to make up the planet some of them were 434 00:17:54,950 --> 00:17:53,919 scattered in a spherical region around 435 00:17:58,950 --> 00:17:54,960 the sun 436 00:18:02,630 --> 00:17:58,960 and it goes halfway to the nearest star 437 00:18:06,150 --> 00:18:02,640 um proxima centauri which is a member of 438 00:18:08,710 --> 00:18:06,160 a three-star system alpha centauri 439 00:18:10,230 --> 00:18:08,720 and as it turns out proxima centauri has 440 00:18:12,710 --> 00:18:10,240 a planet 441 00:18:15,110 --> 00:18:12,720 it's a the star is 12 442 00:18:16,789 --> 00:18:15,120 uh percent of the mass of the sun so 443 00:18:18,789 --> 00:18:16,799 it's it has roughly 444 00:18:21,350 --> 00:18:18,799 half the surface temperature it's a 445 00:18:22,789 --> 00:18:21,360 dwarf star emitting mostly infrared 446 00:18:25,430 --> 00:18:22,799 radiation 447 00:18:27,590 --> 00:18:25,440 and the planet is 20 times closer to the 448 00:18:29,029 --> 00:18:27,600 star than the earth is from the sun but 449 00:18:31,270 --> 00:18:29,039 that happens to be just the right 450 00:18:33,590 --> 00:18:31,280 distance where the surface temperature 451 00:18:35,270 --> 00:18:33,600 of the star of the sun 452 00:18:38,070 --> 00:18:35,280 sorry the surface temperature of the 453 00:18:39,110 --> 00:18:38,080 planet uh is similar to that of the 454 00:18:41,110 --> 00:18:39,120 earth 455 00:18:43,669 --> 00:18:41,120 so in principle there could be liquid 456 00:18:46,070 --> 00:18:43,679 water on the surface of that planet 457 00:18:47,830 --> 00:18:46,080 but it's so close to the star 458 00:18:50,789 --> 00:18:47,840 that 459 00:18:54,230 --> 00:18:50,799 it's tidally locked just like the moon 460 00:18:57,430 --> 00:18:54,240 is to the earth so it faces the star 461 00:18:59,270 --> 00:18:57,440 with the same side as it moves around it 462 00:19:01,990 --> 00:18:59,280 every 11 days 463 00:19:04,950 --> 00:19:02,000 it has a permanent day side 464 00:19:07,590 --> 00:19:04,960 and a permanent night side 465 00:19:08,470 --> 00:19:07,600 and my daughters say that if we ever go 466 00:19:10,390 --> 00:19:08,480 there 467 00:19:12,470 --> 00:19:10,400 they want to have a house 468 00:19:14,230 --> 00:19:12,480 on the strip that separates the 469 00:19:16,470 --> 00:19:14,240 permanent day side from the permanent 470 00:19:17,750 --> 00:19:16,480 night side because you can sit on the 471 00:19:19,029 --> 00:19:17,760 porch 472 00:19:20,470 --> 00:19:19,039 and see 473 00:19:22,710 --> 00:19:20,480 the sunset 474 00:19:25,350 --> 00:19:22,720 forever 475 00:19:31,830 --> 00:19:25,360 just imagine sitting on the porch and 476 00:19:36,390 --> 00:19:34,230 i asked students in my class the 477 00:19:38,070 --> 00:19:36,400 freshman seminar class at harvard if 478 00:19:40,630 --> 00:19:38,080 they know of any animal that has 479 00:19:43,190 --> 00:19:40,640 infrared vision that could live on this 480 00:19:44,789 --> 00:19:43,200 on the day side of this planet and one 481 00:19:46,630 --> 00:19:44,799 of them found 482 00:19:48,950 --> 00:19:46,640 a shrimp 483 00:19:51,669 --> 00:19:48,960 and the eyes of the shrimp look like 484 00:19:53,750 --> 00:19:51,679 ping-pong balls connected with cords to 485 00:19:55,590 --> 00:19:53,760 the head of the shrimp 486 00:19:57,190 --> 00:19:55,600 and the student she said 487 00:20:01,830 --> 00:19:57,200 the student said 488 00:20:06,710 --> 00:20:04,789 now how do we get there the idea is 489 00:20:11,270 --> 00:20:06,720 to uh push 490 00:20:12,950 --> 00:20:11,280 on a very thin film of material a sail 491 00:20:15,510 --> 00:20:12,960 with light 492 00:20:17,669 --> 00:20:15,520 a very powerful laser beam pushing on a 493 00:20:19,590 --> 00:20:17,679 sail that weighs roughly a gram can 494 00:20:20,870 --> 00:20:19,600 bring it to a fifth of the speed of 495 00:20:22,789 --> 00:20:20,880 light 496 00:20:24,710 --> 00:20:22,799 and one can equip the sail with 497 00:20:27,350 --> 00:20:24,720 electronics 498 00:20:29,750 --> 00:20:27,360 so here is the concept a lot of small 499 00:20:33,430 --> 00:20:29,760 lasers low power lasers combine their 500 00:20:36,070 --> 00:20:33,440 beams to make a hundred gigawatt beam 501 00:20:37,190 --> 00:20:36,080 that shines on a sail released by 502 00:20:38,549 --> 00:20:37,200 another 503 00:20:41,270 --> 00:20:38,559 spaceship 504 00:20:42,390 --> 00:20:41,280 above the atmosphere 505 00:20:44,470 --> 00:20:42,400 and 506 00:20:46,549 --> 00:20:44,480 the 100 gigawatt 507 00:20:49,430 --> 00:20:46,559 beam shines for 508 00:20:52,149 --> 00:20:49,440 a few minutes on a sale this the length 509 00:20:53,830 --> 00:20:52,159 of a person that weighs a few grams 510 00:20:56,310 --> 00:20:53,840 and that can bring the sale over a 511 00:20:57,190 --> 00:20:56,320 distance of five times the distance to 512 00:21:00,630 --> 00:20:57,200 the moon 513 00:21:04,870 --> 00:21:00,640 to a fifth of the speed of light 514 00:21:06,710 --> 00:21:04,880 so the launch phase takes a few minutes 515 00:21:10,230 --> 00:21:06,720 and then the journey 516 00:21:12,470 --> 00:21:10,240 takes 20 years 517 00:21:15,029 --> 00:21:12,480 it's a very long journey that's what why 518 00:21:17,750 --> 00:21:15,039 humans are not really designed for 519 00:21:19,750 --> 00:21:17,760 interstellar travel unlike what you see 520 00:21:21,750 --> 00:21:19,760 in science fiction movies 521 00:21:23,830 --> 00:21:21,760 you know we were selected by darwinian 522 00:21:25,830 --> 00:21:23,840 evolution to live on earth 523 00:21:27,350 --> 00:21:25,840 but at any event this sail will 524 00:21:28,310 --> 00:21:27,360 hopefully get 525 00:21:31,029 --> 00:21:28,320 to 526 00:21:34,390 --> 00:21:31,039 proxima b the planet near proxima 527 00:21:35,270 --> 00:21:34,400 centauri and take a photograph 528 00:21:38,230 --> 00:21:35,280 and 529 00:21:40,630 --> 00:21:38,240 inform us whether there is life on it 530 00:21:42,870 --> 00:21:40,640 by sending back the signal 531 00:21:45,430 --> 00:21:42,880 and it will take the signal 532 00:21:48,310 --> 00:21:45,440 four years to reach us 533 00:21:49,669 --> 00:21:48,320 so all together 24 years that's a long 534 00:21:51,750 --> 00:21:49,679 time 535 00:21:56,789 --> 00:21:51,760 but that's the fastest we can imagine 536 00:22:01,350 --> 00:21:59,430 in principle you can launch a sail 537 00:22:04,789 --> 00:22:01,360 close to the speed of light 538 00:22:06,950 --> 00:22:04,799 by a natural source of light if you park 539 00:22:08,950 --> 00:22:06,960 the sail at 100 times the earth sun 540 00:22:12,149 --> 00:22:08,960 separation from 541 00:22:14,470 --> 00:22:12,159 a massive star that is about to explode 542 00:22:18,710 --> 00:22:14,480 in a supernova 543 00:22:21,350 --> 00:22:18,720 then the sail could be carried out 544 00:22:23,270 --> 00:22:21,360 by the flash of light produced by the 545 00:22:24,630 --> 00:22:23,280 explosion 546 00:22:27,990 --> 00:22:24,640 it's just like 547 00:22:31,350 --> 00:22:28,000 surfers waiting for a giant wave to 548 00:22:34,310 --> 00:22:31,360 carry them on the beaches of hawaii 549 00:22:37,669 --> 00:22:34,320 except here we're talking about 550 00:22:40,870 --> 00:22:37,679 a flash of light carrying the sail 551 00:22:44,310 --> 00:22:40,880 close to the speed of light and another 552 00:22:46,549 --> 00:22:44,320 metaphor is dandelion seeds you can see 553 00:22:49,750 --> 00:22:46,559 that on the right hand side 554 00:22:53,350 --> 00:22:52,149 now we are probably not the sharpest 555 00:22:55,990 --> 00:22:53,360 cookies 556 00:22:58,390 --> 00:22:56,000 in the jar of the milky way and by that 557 00:23:00,630 --> 00:22:58,400 i mean we are not the smartest 558 00:23:02,149 --> 00:23:00,640 and the reason i say that is 559 00:23:05,110 --> 00:23:02,159 i define 560 00:23:07,430 --> 00:23:05,120 uh as an intelligent species 561 00:23:09,430 --> 00:23:07,440 a culture that is 562 00:23:11,430 --> 00:23:09,440 following the guiding principles of 563 00:23:14,390 --> 00:23:11,440 science 564 00:23:16,149 --> 00:23:14,400 cooperation and sharing of 565 00:23:17,669 --> 00:23:16,159 evidence-based 566 00:23:20,390 --> 00:23:17,679 knowledge 567 00:23:21,750 --> 00:23:20,400 so we are not cooperating much 568 00:23:23,750 --> 00:23:21,760 i mean the 569 00:23:26,230 --> 00:23:23,760 latest example is 570 00:23:28,789 --> 00:23:26,240 the kovit 19 pandemic it started in 571 00:23:31,110 --> 00:23:28,799 wohan china there wasn't much 572 00:23:32,390 --> 00:23:31,120 uh sharing of information it could have 573 00:23:34,950 --> 00:23:32,400 saved 574 00:23:38,710 --> 00:23:34,960 a lot of lives if we if everyone knew 575 00:23:39,990 --> 00:23:38,720 what this virus is all about 576 00:23:41,269 --> 00:23:40,000 and 577 00:23:44,630 --> 00:23:41,279 also when we 578 00:23:47,269 --> 00:23:44,640 make decisions on policy 579 00:23:49,430 --> 00:23:47,279 they are not following evidence 580 00:23:51,029 --> 00:23:49,440 so we have a long way to go 581 00:23:52,710 --> 00:23:51,039 and that's why i'm saying 582 00:23:55,590 --> 00:23:52,720 you know what's the chance that if you 583 00:23:58,870 --> 00:23:55,600 open a recipe book that you land on the 584 00:24:00,310 --> 00:23:58,880 page that makes the best cake 585 00:24:03,190 --> 00:24:00,320 quite small 586 00:24:04,710 --> 00:24:03,200 and therefore the chance of us being 587 00:24:06,870 --> 00:24:04,720 the smartest 588 00:24:09,750 --> 00:24:06,880 civilization in our galaxy is really 589 00:24:13,190 --> 00:24:11,029 so 590 00:24:15,430 --> 00:24:13,200 without any prejudice 591 00:24:17,909 --> 00:24:15,440 let's just search 592 00:24:19,909 --> 00:24:17,919 for evidence of others of course we can 593 00:24:22,789 --> 00:24:19,919 argue that we are the smartest just like 594 00:24:24,870 --> 00:24:22,799 my daughters did when they were young 595 00:24:27,190 --> 00:24:24,880 we can decide not to look through our 596 00:24:28,950 --> 00:24:27,200 windows for any neighbors 597 00:24:31,350 --> 00:24:28,960 but that will not get rid of our 598 00:24:33,750 --> 00:24:31,360 neighbors 599 00:24:35,750 --> 00:24:33,760 and the best place to start looking 600 00:24:37,510 --> 00:24:35,760 is in our backyard for anything that 601 00:24:39,909 --> 00:24:37,520 came into it 602 00:24:42,230 --> 00:24:39,919 and that means the solar system and in 603 00:24:44,950 --> 00:24:42,240 2017 604 00:24:47,029 --> 00:24:44,960 the pan stars telescope in hawaii 605 00:24:48,789 --> 00:24:47,039 on the summit of haleakala mountain in 606 00:24:52,070 --> 00:24:48,799 maui 607 00:24:54,230 --> 00:24:52,080 discovered the first interstellar object 608 00:24:55,909 --> 00:24:54,240 that visited the solar system 609 00:24:58,310 --> 00:24:55,919 from outside 610 00:24:59,590 --> 00:24:58,320 based on its velocity it was not bound 611 00:25:01,750 --> 00:24:59,600 to the sun 612 00:25:04,230 --> 00:25:01,760 it was given the name omuamua which 613 00:25:07,110 --> 00:25:04,240 means a scout in the hawaiian language 614 00:25:10,870 --> 00:25:07,120 you can see it circled in blue 615 00:25:14,149 --> 00:25:10,880 with the background of stars behind it 616 00:25:16,230 --> 00:25:14,159 and it started in a very special frame 617 00:25:18,630 --> 00:25:16,240 of reference the so-called local 618 00:25:20,230 --> 00:25:18,640 standard of rest which is the frame that 619 00:25:22,230 --> 00:25:20,240 you get to when you average over the 620 00:25:23,830 --> 00:25:22,240 motions of all the stars in the vicinity 621 00:25:26,549 --> 00:25:23,840 of the sun 622 00:25:30,870 --> 00:25:26,559 only one in 500 stars 623 00:25:31,590 --> 00:25:30,880 is so much at rest as umu was 624 00:25:36,630 --> 00:25:31,600 so 625 00:25:39,430 --> 00:25:36,640 the surface of the ocean at rest and 626 00:25:43,110 --> 00:25:39,440 then the sun was like a giant ship that 627 00:25:47,029 --> 00:25:43,120 bumped into it and gave it a kick 628 00:25:50,470 --> 00:25:49,190 and as the object was tumbling every 629 00:25:53,190 --> 00:25:50,480 eight hours 630 00:25:56,149 --> 00:25:53,200 the amount of sunlight reflected from it 631 00:25:57,990 --> 00:25:56,159 changed by a factor of 10. 632 00:26:00,070 --> 00:25:58,000 and that meant that it has a very 633 00:26:02,310 --> 00:26:00,080 extreme shape 634 00:26:03,750 --> 00:26:02,320 just imagine a piece of paper tumbling 635 00:26:06,310 --> 00:26:03,760 in the wind 636 00:26:08,070 --> 00:26:06,320 and the project the area of the piece of 637 00:26:10,230 --> 00:26:08,080 paper projected 638 00:26:11,590 --> 00:26:10,240 in front of you changing by a factor of 639 00:26:15,110 --> 00:26:11,600 10. 640 00:26:15,909 --> 00:26:15,120 it means that the object is very thin 641 00:26:19,029 --> 00:26:15,919 and 642 00:26:22,149 --> 00:26:19,039 when modeling the variation of light the 643 00:26:25,269 --> 00:26:22,159 best shape that was inferred is that of 644 00:26:28,390 --> 00:26:25,279 a pancake a disc 645 00:26:30,950 --> 00:26:28,400 you can see it on the left here a 646 00:26:35,990 --> 00:26:34,230 shade implies a high probability so 647 00:26:38,310 --> 00:26:36,000 in this plane of 648 00:26:39,590 --> 00:26:38,320 the angles the defined orientation of 649 00:26:41,830 --> 00:26:39,600 the object 650 00:26:43,750 --> 00:26:41,840 it seems like most of this plane at the 651 00:26:47,510 --> 00:26:43,760 90 percent confidence 652 00:26:48,710 --> 00:26:47,520 agrees with the data meaning that a disk 653 00:26:53,350 --> 00:26:48,720 like 654 00:26:55,909 --> 00:26:53,360 and then on the right side you see a 655 00:26:57,110 --> 00:26:55,919 cigar that is 10 times longer than it is 656 00:26:59,590 --> 00:26:57,120 wide 657 00:27:01,510 --> 00:26:59,600 and you really need to fine tune the 658 00:27:04,789 --> 00:27:01,520 orientation of this cigar in order to 659 00:27:07,590 --> 00:27:04,799 get a good fit to the light curve 660 00:27:10,230 --> 00:27:07,600 so most likely it was disk shape at the 661 00:27:12,870 --> 00:27:10,240 90 confidence 662 00:27:13,830 --> 00:27:12,880 and then the spitzer space telescope 663 00:27:15,590 --> 00:27:13,840 tried 664 00:27:17,190 --> 00:27:15,600 to look at this object 665 00:27:19,590 --> 00:27:17,200 and you can see the image on the right 666 00:27:23,750 --> 00:27:19,600 hand side on the top at the top 667 00:27:25,110 --> 00:27:23,760 and there was nothing detected nothing 668 00:27:27,830 --> 00:27:25,120 and that means 669 00:27:29,990 --> 00:27:27,840 that the object did not emit infrared 670 00:27:32,149 --> 00:27:30,000 radiation didn't we didn't see any heat 671 00:27:35,830 --> 00:27:32,159 coming from it it must have been small 672 00:27:37,510 --> 00:27:35,840 smaller than 200 meters 673 00:27:40,149 --> 00:27:37,520 because we know the surface temperature 674 00:27:42,070 --> 00:27:40,159 of the object based on its trajectory 675 00:27:43,990 --> 00:27:42,080 so it must have been smaller with a high 676 00:27:44,950 --> 00:27:44,000 reflectance 677 00:27:48,549 --> 00:27:44,960 and then 678 00:27:50,549 --> 00:27:48,559 moreover there was no dust or gas around 679 00:27:52,310 --> 00:27:50,559 it at a very 680 00:27:55,590 --> 00:27:52,320 there was a very tight limit on the 681 00:27:58,549 --> 00:27:55,600 existence of carbon-based molecules 682 00:28:01,110 --> 00:27:58,559 so the object was definitely not a comet 683 00:28:05,590 --> 00:28:01,120 of the type that we have seen before 684 00:28:10,630 --> 00:28:07,909 but at the same time the object 685 00:28:11,750 --> 00:28:10,640 exhibited an excess push away from the 686 00:28:13,269 --> 00:28:11,760 sun 687 00:28:15,590 --> 00:28:13,279 with a force 688 00:28:18,070 --> 00:28:15,600 that declines inversely with distance 689 00:28:20,389 --> 00:28:18,080 squared 690 00:28:22,870 --> 00:28:20,399 some non-gravitational force and since 691 00:28:24,549 --> 00:28:22,880 evaporation was excluded by the speeds 692 00:28:26,710 --> 00:28:24,559 of data 693 00:28:30,470 --> 00:28:26,720 the only possibility that i could think 694 00:28:35,190 --> 00:28:30,480 of was that the push is as a result of 695 00:28:42,070 --> 00:28:37,590 but in order for that to be effective 696 00:28:48,630 --> 00:28:46,149 and nature doesn't make thin objects 697 00:28:51,510 --> 00:28:48,640 so i suggested in a scientific paper 698 00:28:52,789 --> 00:28:51,520 that perhaps the object is artificial in 699 00:28:54,389 --> 00:28:52,799 origin 700 00:28:58,310 --> 00:28:54,399 and that's really the fundamental 701 00:29:01,029 --> 00:28:58,320 question is a muammua natural 702 00:29:03,669 --> 00:29:01,039 or artificial 703 00:29:05,750 --> 00:29:03,679 and after i finished my book actually 704 00:29:07,750 --> 00:29:05,760 after i finished writing it there was 705 00:29:09,269 --> 00:29:07,760 another object discovered by the same 706 00:29:11,750 --> 00:29:09,279 telescope 707 00:29:15,190 --> 00:29:11,760 in september 2020 708 00:29:17,350 --> 00:29:15,200 it was given the astronomical name 2020 709 00:29:20,710 --> 00:29:17,360 so 710 00:29:22,950 --> 00:29:20,720 and it was thought to be an asteroid 711 00:29:25,350 --> 00:29:22,960 but then it showed an excess push away 712 00:29:26,549 --> 00:29:25,360 from the sun as a result of reflection 713 00:29:30,310 --> 00:29:26,559 of sunlight 714 00:29:32,070 --> 00:29:30,320 no cometary tale just like omuamua 715 00:29:34,870 --> 00:29:32,080 and then the astronomers that discovered 716 00:29:37,430 --> 00:29:34,880 it a few weeks later realized in fact if 717 00:29:39,510 --> 00:29:37,440 you extrapolate the orbit back in time 718 00:29:40,789 --> 00:29:39,520 it actually came from earth 719 00:29:43,190 --> 00:29:40,799 it was 720 00:29:46,070 --> 00:29:43,200 a rocket booster that was launched from 721 00:29:49,029 --> 00:29:46,080 earth in 1966 722 00:29:51,830 --> 00:29:49,039 as part of a lunar lander mission 723 00:29:54,630 --> 00:29:51,840 and we understand why it had an excess 724 00:29:56,149 --> 00:29:54,640 push away from the sun because it had 725 00:29:59,590 --> 00:29:56,159 thin walls 726 00:30:01,830 --> 00:29:59,600 so it had a large area for its mass 727 00:30:06,149 --> 00:30:01,840 and we know that this object was 728 00:30:08,389 --> 00:30:06,159 artificial because we produced it 729 00:30:12,549 --> 00:30:08,399 the question is who produced 730 00:30:15,669 --> 00:30:12,559 a muammar and this object 2020 so was 731 00:30:17,029 --> 00:30:15,679 not designed to be a light sail 732 00:30:20,230 --> 00:30:17,039 it was just 733 00:30:21,350 --> 00:30:20,240 thin that's all and so omomua could have 734 00:30:23,029 --> 00:30:21,360 been thin 735 00:30:25,750 --> 00:30:23,039 for a different purpose not to be a 736 00:30:27,830 --> 00:30:25,760 light sale but perhaps it was a receiver 737 00:30:30,549 --> 00:30:27,840 or something the point is 738 00:30:34,789 --> 00:30:30,559 it was artificial if we make the analogy 739 00:30:39,909 --> 00:30:38,149 and what are the anomalies of muammua 740 00:30:42,070 --> 00:30:39,919 well first of all we didn't expect to 741 00:30:44,870 --> 00:30:42,080 find such an object 742 00:30:46,789 --> 00:30:44,880 because i wrote a paper a decade earlier 743 00:30:48,950 --> 00:30:46,799 forecasting the number of frogs that 744 00:30:50,710 --> 00:30:48,960 should be in the interstellar medium 745 00:30:53,350 --> 00:30:50,720 based on what we know in the solar 746 00:30:54,710 --> 00:30:53,360 system and we expected an abundance that 747 00:30:57,029 --> 00:30:54,720 is smaller 748 00:30:58,630 --> 00:30:57,039 by a factor of a hundred to a hundred 749 00:31:00,549 --> 00:30:58,640 million 750 00:31:04,230 --> 00:31:00,559 than the number of objects needed to 751 00:31:08,950 --> 00:31:07,029 and moreover this object or momoa 752 00:31:10,389 --> 00:31:08,960 originated from the local standard of 753 00:31:12,870 --> 00:31:10,399 rest 754 00:31:15,990 --> 00:31:12,880 only 1 in 500 stars 755 00:31:17,750 --> 00:31:16,000 are in that frame of reference and 756 00:31:20,470 --> 00:31:17,760 it couldn't have originated from any of 757 00:31:22,950 --> 00:31:20,480 the nearby stars 758 00:31:25,669 --> 00:31:22,960 its brightness changed by a factor of 10 759 00:31:27,590 --> 00:31:25,679 that meant a very extreme shape 760 00:31:28,630 --> 00:31:27,600 and the best fit to the variation of 761 00:31:31,110 --> 00:31:28,640 light 762 00:31:33,830 --> 00:31:31,120 was that of a pancake 763 00:31:35,509 --> 00:31:33,840 these are unusual properties 764 00:31:38,310 --> 00:31:35,519 its reflectance must have been 765 00:31:41,830 --> 00:31:38,320 substantial of the order of five to 766 00:31:44,389 --> 00:31:41,840 twenty percent or more 767 00:31:45,990 --> 00:31:44,399 and it deviated from a capillary and 768 00:31:48,389 --> 00:31:46,000 orbit 769 00:31:50,710 --> 00:31:48,399 without any cometary 770 00:31:52,470 --> 00:31:50,720 tail without any outgassing 771 00:31:54,310 --> 00:31:52,480 that we can detect with the speeds of 772 00:31:56,950 --> 00:31:54,320 space telescope so i suggest that it 773 00:31:58,870 --> 00:31:56,960 must be pushed by sunlight 774 00:32:02,149 --> 00:31:58,880 and then there were a few astronomers 775 00:32:04,710 --> 00:32:02,159 that tried to explain it 776 00:32:06,230 --> 00:32:04,720 from a natural origin 777 00:32:08,789 --> 00:32:06,240 and what were the suggestions the 778 00:32:10,710 --> 00:32:08,799 suggestion was one of them was maybe 779 00:32:13,029 --> 00:32:10,720 it's a dust bunny 780 00:32:16,630 --> 00:32:13,039 it's a cloud of dust particles that is a 781 00:32:18,389 --> 00:32:16,640 100 times less dense than air 782 00:32:20,870 --> 00:32:18,399 so that it's pushed by reflecting 783 00:32:23,190 --> 00:32:20,880 sunlight because it's very lightweight 784 00:32:24,630 --> 00:32:23,200 the problem with that is such a very 785 00:32:25,750 --> 00:32:24,640 fluffy 786 00:32:28,070 --> 00:32:25,760 cloud 787 00:32:29,990 --> 00:32:28,080 would get disrupted as it gets heated by 788 00:32:32,149 --> 00:32:30,000 hundreds of degrees when it gets close 789 00:32:35,350 --> 00:32:32,159 to the sun it's very difficult to 790 00:32:37,750 --> 00:32:35,360 imagine that it will maintain its 791 00:32:40,149 --> 00:32:37,760 integrity because its material strength 792 00:32:41,669 --> 00:32:40,159 is not very high 793 00:32:43,350 --> 00:32:41,679 then there was a situation maybe it's a 794 00:32:45,590 --> 00:32:43,360 hydrogen iceberg 795 00:32:47,750 --> 00:32:45,600 a chunk of frozen hydrogen so that when 796 00:32:49,190 --> 00:32:47,760 hydrogen evaporates it's transparent and 797 00:32:51,029 --> 00:32:49,200 you can't see it 798 00:32:53,430 --> 00:32:51,039 the problem with that is hydrogen 799 00:32:55,990 --> 00:32:53,440 evaporates very easily so it wouldn't 800 00:32:57,110 --> 00:32:56,000 survive the travel through interstellar 801 00:32:58,630 --> 00:32:57,120 space 802 00:33:00,470 --> 00:32:58,640 it would evaporate within a million 803 00:33:02,070 --> 00:33:00,480 years or so 804 00:33:03,909 --> 00:33:02,080 then there was a suggestion maybe it's a 805 00:33:06,070 --> 00:33:03,919 nitrogen iceberg 806 00:33:07,909 --> 00:33:06,080 all of these things are 807 00:33:09,669 --> 00:33:07,919 something that we've never seen before 808 00:33:12,389 --> 00:33:09,679 we don't know if hydrogen icebergs are 809 00:33:15,669 --> 00:33:12,399 made in nature we don't know if nitrogen 810 00:33:17,830 --> 00:33:15,679 icebergs are common and in fact 811 00:33:18,549 --> 00:33:17,840 there is just not enough nitrogen to 812 00:33:21,830 --> 00:33:18,559 make 813 00:33:24,470 --> 00:33:21,840 enough chunks of nitrogen to explain mua 814 00:33:26,230 --> 00:33:24,480 so he here are a couple of plots from 815 00:33:28,710 --> 00:33:26,240 papers that i've written 816 00:33:31,430 --> 00:33:28,720 in one on the left we show that for a 817 00:33:32,710 --> 00:33:31,440 hydrogen iceberg the lifetime 818 00:33:34,870 --> 00:33:32,720 over which 819 00:33:35,750 --> 00:33:34,880 it would get evaporated is a few million 820 00:33:36,789 --> 00:33:35,760 years 821 00:33:39,990 --> 00:33:36,799 and 822 00:33:42,070 --> 00:33:40,000 that allows such a hydrogen iceberg to 823 00:33:43,430 --> 00:33:42,080 traverse a distance that is only one 824 00:33:46,470 --> 00:33:43,440 percent 825 00:33:49,509 --> 00:33:46,480 of the scale of the milky way galaxy so 826 00:33:51,190 --> 00:33:49,519 it must have originated very nearby and 827 00:33:53,509 --> 00:33:51,200 you know there aren't molecular clouds 828 00:33:55,350 --> 00:33:53,519 that could have produced it so nearby to 829 00:33:57,029 --> 00:33:55,360 to to earth you know that it just 830 00:33:59,830 --> 00:33:57,039 doesn't make much we don't even know if 831 00:34:01,350 --> 00:33:59,840 a molecular cloud can produce solid 832 00:34:04,230 --> 00:34:01,360 uh hydrogen 833 00:34:06,710 --> 00:34:04,240 with a scale of a football field we've 834 00:34:08,550 --> 00:34:06,720 never seen anything like it 835 00:34:11,190 --> 00:34:08,560 and then there was the nitrogen iceberg 836 00:34:12,629 --> 00:34:11,200 idea again we have never seen anything 837 00:34:14,550 --> 00:34:12,639 like it and that's supposed to be very 838 00:34:16,470 --> 00:34:14,560 common because that's the first object 839 00:34:20,230 --> 00:34:16,480 we see from out from the intestinal 840 00:34:23,190 --> 00:34:20,240 space and for that actually uh cosmic 841 00:34:24,069 --> 00:34:23,200 ray of operation is quite substantial 842 00:34:25,829 --> 00:34:24,079 and 843 00:34:27,990 --> 00:34:25,839 it doesn't last for more than a few 844 00:34:30,310 --> 00:34:28,000 million years and in fact if you want it 845 00:34:32,470 --> 00:34:30,320 to last half a billion years as 846 00:34:35,030 --> 00:34:32,480 conjectured by the people who propose 847 00:34:36,950 --> 00:34:35,040 the nitrogen iceberg hypothesis 848 00:34:40,629 --> 00:34:36,960 then you need the initial size of the 849 00:34:43,589 --> 00:34:40,639 object to be a hundred times bigger 850 00:34:46,389 --> 00:34:43,599 than the size of a muammua 851 00:34:47,909 --> 00:34:46,399 so that it evaporates almost completely 852 00:34:49,430 --> 00:34:47,919 if you want it to go through 853 00:34:52,149 --> 00:34:49,440 interstellar space 854 00:34:55,510 --> 00:34:52,159 for uh half a billion years it will have 855 00:34:57,670 --> 00:34:55,520 up 99 of its size would get evaporated 856 00:34:59,750 --> 00:34:57,680 you will be left with one percent of the 857 00:35:02,630 --> 00:34:59,760 original size so you have to start with 858 00:35:04,950 --> 00:35:02,640 10 kilometers and then you end up with 859 00:35:07,109 --> 00:35:04,960 hundreds of meters but there is a 860 00:35:09,829 --> 00:35:07,119 problem with the mass budget of nitrogen 861 00:35:12,230 --> 00:35:09,839 there is just not enough nitrogen in the 862 00:35:16,870 --> 00:35:12,240 milky way galaxy and we've shown that in 863 00:35:19,349 --> 00:35:16,880 another paper with my student amir siraj 864 00:35:20,870 --> 00:35:19,359 and this is from a paper that was 865 00:35:22,630 --> 00:35:20,880 published 866 00:35:24,630 --> 00:35:22,640 a month ago 867 00:35:26,470 --> 00:35:24,640 by the people that proposed the hydrogen 868 00:35:29,349 --> 00:35:26,480 iceberg and in the middle of the 869 00:35:31,349 --> 00:35:29,359 abstract they say the hydrogen 870 00:35:34,950 --> 00:35:31,359 and nitrogen models 871 00:35:37,270 --> 00:35:34,960 have serious difficulties 872 00:35:39,670 --> 00:35:37,280 so i say you know if it's something 873 00:35:42,069 --> 00:35:39,680 we've never seen before and those models 874 00:35:45,030 --> 00:35:42,079 have serious difficulties why not 875 00:35:47,190 --> 00:35:45,040 contemplate an artificial origin 876 00:35:49,990 --> 00:35:47,200 and my colleagues say 877 00:35:53,750 --> 00:35:50,000 forget about it business as usual it's 878 00:35:56,950 --> 00:35:56,069 now the way i think of it 879 00:35:59,670 --> 00:35:56,960 is 880 00:36:01,670 --> 00:35:59,680 when you walk on the beach you see 881 00:36:04,230 --> 00:36:01,680 rocks and seashells that are naturally 882 00:36:06,230 --> 00:36:04,240 produced but every now and then you may 883 00:36:08,230 --> 00:36:06,240 see a plastic bottle 884 00:36:11,510 --> 00:36:08,240 and that tells you that there is a 885 00:36:14,470 --> 00:36:11,520 civilization out there 886 00:36:16,230 --> 00:36:14,480 and if you imagine a caveman 887 00:36:17,910 --> 00:36:16,240 finding a cellphone 888 00:36:18,790 --> 00:36:17,920 the first thing that the caveman would 889 00:36:22,230 --> 00:36:18,800 say 890 00:36:25,349 --> 00:36:22,240 is the cellphone is a rock of a type 891 00:36:28,550 --> 00:36:25,359 that i've never seen before 892 00:36:31,349 --> 00:36:28,560 and that's what my colleagues are saying 893 00:36:34,870 --> 00:36:31,359 is a rock of a type that we have never 894 00:36:37,990 --> 00:36:36,550 but of course that's the beginning of a 895 00:36:41,030 --> 00:36:38,000 learning experience because if the 896 00:36:41,990 --> 00:36:41,040 caveman will press a button 897 00:36:44,630 --> 00:36:42,000 then 898 00:36:45,589 --> 00:36:44,640 he would realize that it can record his 899 00:36:47,270 --> 00:36:45,599 voice 900 00:36:49,910 --> 00:36:47,280 if he will press another button it can 901 00:36:51,190 --> 00:36:49,920 record his image at which point it will 902 00:36:55,030 --> 00:36:51,200 become clear 903 00:36:57,430 --> 00:36:55,040 that this is not a rock 904 00:37:00,230 --> 00:36:57,440 so what we need is more data 905 00:37:01,670 --> 00:37:00,240 rather than argue business as usual 906 00:37:03,510 --> 00:37:01,680 because that would be equivalent to the 907 00:37:05,510 --> 00:37:03,520 caveman throwing off the cell phone and 908 00:37:09,910 --> 00:37:05,520 saying oh it's just a rock let's forget 909 00:37:15,030 --> 00:37:12,630 now there was another object discovered 910 00:37:16,630 --> 00:37:15,040 from interstellar space it was given the 911 00:37:19,349 --> 00:37:16,640 name borisov 912 00:37:22,310 --> 00:37:19,359 after the amateur astronomer that 913 00:37:25,670 --> 00:37:22,320 discovered it the gennady borisov 914 00:37:28,630 --> 00:37:25,680 and it looked just like a comet 915 00:37:31,510 --> 00:37:28,640 so my colleagues say said 916 00:37:33,589 --> 00:37:31,520 oh borisov looks like a comet 917 00:37:35,109 --> 00:37:33,599 doesn't it convince you that um is 918 00:37:38,310 --> 00:37:35,119 natural 919 00:37:39,270 --> 00:37:38,320 and my answer is if you find a plastic 920 00:37:42,550 --> 00:37:39,280 bottle 921 00:37:44,950 --> 00:37:42,560 and after that you find a rock 922 00:37:47,829 --> 00:37:44,960 it doesn't make the plastic bottle a 923 00:37:51,750 --> 00:37:49,109 and of course 924 00:37:54,790 --> 00:37:51,760 a picture is worth a thousand words 925 00:37:58,630 --> 00:37:54,800 in my case a picture is worth 66 000 926 00:38:00,630 --> 00:37:58,640 words the number of words in my book 927 00:38:03,430 --> 00:38:00,640 if we had an image like the one 928 00:38:05,670 --> 00:38:03,440 presented in this slide that was taken 929 00:38:08,630 --> 00:38:05,680 by the osiris-rex 930 00:38:10,790 --> 00:38:08,640 uh mission to the asteroid bennu we 931 00:38:12,550 --> 00:38:10,800 could have distinguished easily 932 00:38:15,510 --> 00:38:12,560 between 933 00:38:19,349 --> 00:38:15,520 a rock that we have never seen before 934 00:38:22,470 --> 00:38:19,359 and an artificial object 935 00:38:24,230 --> 00:38:22,480 that has screws and bolts on it 936 00:38:28,310 --> 00:38:24,240 and this mission will actually bring a 937 00:38:31,109 --> 00:38:28,320 sample back to earth in 2023 938 00:38:34,790 --> 00:38:31,119 so just imagine pressing the buttons on 939 00:38:38,790 --> 00:38:36,790 now we tend to think that the play is 940 00:38:39,510 --> 00:38:38,800 about us 941 00:38:41,109 --> 00:38:39,520 but 942 00:38:43,310 --> 00:38:41,119 not so 943 00:38:46,310 --> 00:38:43,320 because the play has been going on for 944 00:38:47,190 --> 00:38:46,320 13.8 billion years we just came at the 945 00:38:50,790 --> 00:38:47,200 end 946 00:38:53,990 --> 00:38:52,790 there was an interesting paper published 947 00:39:02,790 --> 00:38:54,000 in 948 00:39:03,910 --> 00:39:02,800 the city of storm who which is discussed 949 00:39:05,990 --> 00:39:03,920 in the 950 00:39:07,030 --> 00:39:06,000 uh biblical story 951 00:39:12,230 --> 00:39:07,040 uh 952 00:39:13,670 --> 00:39:12,240 result of 953 00:39:15,190 --> 00:39:13,680 a divine 954 00:39:17,430 --> 00:39:15,200 intervention that 955 00:39:19,190 --> 00:39:17,440 basically punished the residents of the 956 00:39:22,710 --> 00:39:19,200 city for their sins 957 00:39:24,150 --> 00:39:22,720 but now an archaeological team studied 958 00:39:25,670 --> 00:39:24,160 uh 959 00:39:28,069 --> 00:39:25,680 a site that 960 00:39:30,470 --> 00:39:28,079 represents potentially where the city 961 00:39:32,950 --> 00:39:30,480 was located and found that most likely 962 00:39:37,670 --> 00:39:32,960 it was hit by a meteor 963 00:39:40,150 --> 00:39:37,680 and this meteor this rock was heading to 964 00:39:43,109 --> 00:39:40,160 a collision course with earth long 965 00:39:47,109 --> 00:39:43,119 before the city was constructed 966 00:39:50,790 --> 00:39:47,119 long before the people that occupied it 967 00:39:53,349 --> 00:39:50,800 decided to commit their sins 968 00:39:55,670 --> 00:39:53,359 and it had nothing to do with their 969 00:39:58,470 --> 00:39:55,680 actions we tend to think that the play 970 00:40:00,230 --> 00:39:58,480 is about us we do something and we get 971 00:40:03,030 --> 00:40:00,240 punished we do something and something 972 00:40:04,950 --> 00:40:03,040 from the sky reflects that no not at all 973 00:40:08,230 --> 00:40:04,960 has nothing to it's a rock that was 974 00:40:10,550 --> 00:40:08,240 heading towards earth long ago and just 975 00:40:12,950 --> 00:40:10,560 impacted this city 976 00:40:14,950 --> 00:40:12,960 and then we interpret it in that way so 977 00:40:18,150 --> 00:40:14,960 there is this human tendency of thinking 978 00:40:21,670 --> 00:40:18,160 that we are everything is about us no 979 00:40:25,030 --> 00:40:21,680 it's not we might be just one ant 980 00:40:25,990 --> 00:40:25,040 out of many on the sidewalk of the milky 981 00:40:27,589 --> 00:40:26,000 way 982 00:40:30,390 --> 00:40:27,599 we are not 983 00:40:36,390 --> 00:40:30,400 central players 984 00:40:40,470 --> 00:40:38,950 and uh one way to find out if there are 985 00:40:43,670 --> 00:40:40,480 other players is 986 00:40:45,910 --> 00:40:43,680 to look in addition uh to searching for 987 00:40:47,589 --> 00:40:45,920 technological relics like the galileo 988 00:40:49,510 --> 00:40:47,599 project is trying to do we can search 989 00:40:51,589 --> 00:40:49,520 for industrial pollution in the 990 00:40:54,870 --> 00:40:51,599 atmospheres of other planets 991 00:40:57,829 --> 00:40:54,880 we can search for city lights on the 992 00:40:59,270 --> 00:40:57,839 night side of proxima b that's a paper 993 00:41:01,430 --> 00:40:59,280 we've written with a student from 994 00:41:03,670 --> 00:41:01,440 stanford a few months ago 995 00:41:07,670 --> 00:41:03,680 you can search for light beams that are 996 00:41:11,510 --> 00:41:07,680 used to propel light sails 997 00:41:13,750 --> 00:41:11,520 and enrico fermi 70 years ago asked 998 00:41:16,710 --> 00:41:13,760 where is everybody 999 00:41:19,030 --> 00:41:16,720 well that to me is very presumptuous 1000 00:41:21,109 --> 00:41:19,040 because it's just like saying i don't 1001 00:41:23,270 --> 00:41:21,119 hear a knock on my door 1002 00:41:25,750 --> 00:41:23,280 i don't see anyone having a party in my 1003 00:41:27,109 --> 00:41:25,760 backyard therefore i don't have 1004 00:41:29,270 --> 00:41:27,119 neighbors 1005 00:41:32,550 --> 00:41:29,280 well just think about it we've been 1006 00:41:33,589 --> 00:41:32,560 documenting our history only for 10 000 1007 00:41:35,910 --> 00:41:33,599 years 1008 00:41:37,910 --> 00:41:35,920 that's one millionth 1009 00:41:40,550 --> 00:41:37,920 of the age 1010 00:41:42,630 --> 00:41:40,560 of the earth so why 1011 00:41:46,309 --> 00:41:42,640 would they visit us 1012 00:41:48,550 --> 00:41:46,319 just when we are ready to look for them 1013 00:41:50,230 --> 00:41:48,560 you know they could have visited us 1014 00:41:52,550 --> 00:41:50,240 millions of years ago if they visited a 1015 00:41:57,349 --> 00:41:52,560 billion years ago there were only 1016 00:42:02,390 --> 00:41:59,670 and moreover it's possible that most of 1017 00:42:05,910 --> 00:42:02,400 those civilizations predated us by a 1018 00:42:08,870 --> 00:42:05,920 long time so by now they're dead 1019 00:42:11,109 --> 00:42:08,880 but we can still search 1020 00:42:13,829 --> 00:42:11,119 for their relics sort of like doing 1021 00:42:17,030 --> 00:42:13,839 archaeology 1022 00:42:19,349 --> 00:42:17,040 and my hope is that this will change the 1023 00:42:21,190 --> 00:42:19,359 way we treat each other 1024 00:42:24,550 --> 00:42:21,200 because if you look at human history 1025 00:42:26,790 --> 00:42:24,560 what you find over and over again 1026 00:42:30,470 --> 00:42:26,800 is this tendency of a group of people to 1027 00:42:33,990 --> 00:42:30,480 feel superior relative to other people 1028 00:42:36,550 --> 00:42:34,000 the best example is the second world war 1029 00:42:41,670 --> 00:42:36,560 where the nazi regime 1030 00:42:43,990 --> 00:42:41,680 triggered the death of 75 million people 1031 00:42:47,589 --> 00:42:44,000 that was three percent of the world 1032 00:42:50,390 --> 00:42:47,599 population in 1940 1033 00:42:52,069 --> 00:42:50,400 and just think about it it's 20 times 1034 00:42:55,589 --> 00:42:52,079 more deaths 1035 00:43:01,589 --> 00:42:59,829 caused by the covet 19 pandemic and we 1036 00:43:03,829 --> 00:43:01,599 speak about coving 19 for a year and a 1037 00:43:06,470 --> 00:43:03,839 half but there was a group of people 1038 00:43:08,150 --> 00:43:06,480 that killed 20 times more 1039 00:43:11,349 --> 00:43:08,160 than the virus 1040 00:43:13,829 --> 00:43:11,359 just because they felt superior 1041 00:43:16,309 --> 00:43:13,839 just think about it 1042 00:43:19,510 --> 00:43:16,319 and uh if we now 1043 00:43:21,670 --> 00:43:19,520 uh imagine finding 1044 00:43:23,670 --> 00:43:21,680 evidence for a civilization far more 1045 00:43:26,550 --> 00:43:23,680 advanced than we are for example if you 1046 00:43:29,270 --> 00:43:26,560 imagine the perseverance rover 1047 00:43:31,750 --> 00:43:29,280 instead of finding evidence for microbes 1048 00:43:34,309 --> 00:43:31,760 on the surface of mars 1049 00:43:36,630 --> 00:43:34,319 you know microbes are 1050 00:43:38,790 --> 00:43:36,640 things that we can feel superior 1051 00:43:41,589 --> 00:43:38,800 relative to but imagine that 1052 00:43:44,710 --> 00:43:41,599 the perseverance rover would bump 1053 00:43:46,790 --> 00:43:44,720 into the wreckage of a spaceship 1054 00:43:49,990 --> 00:43:46,800 that represents technology 1055 00:43:53,109 --> 00:43:50,000 far more advanced than we ever produced 1056 00:43:56,069 --> 00:43:53,119 that would be a blow to the ego 1057 00:43:58,230 --> 00:43:56,079 of many entrepreneurs here on earth 1058 00:43:59,430 --> 00:43:58,240 here is a civilization far more advanced 1059 00:44:01,430 --> 00:43:59,440 than we are 1060 00:44:02,950 --> 00:44:01,440 that produce something 1061 00:44:05,270 --> 00:44:02,960 and my point is 1062 00:44:07,109 --> 00:44:05,280 if we become modest 1063 00:44:09,990 --> 00:44:07,119 it will serve a very important purpose 1064 00:44:11,990 --> 00:44:10,000 because we would realize that all of our 1065 00:44:14,790 --> 00:44:12,000 genetic differences 1066 00:44:18,470 --> 00:44:14,800 are really meaningless 1067 00:44:21,109 --> 00:44:18,480 when there is a smarter kid on the block 1068 00:44:24,790 --> 00:44:21,119 that in fact the 1069 00:44:27,109 --> 00:44:24,800 these small differences that outline the 1070 00:44:30,470 --> 00:44:27,119 uh nazi doctrine 1071 00:44:33,510 --> 00:44:30,480 uh should be forgotten and that we 1072 00:44:37,589 --> 00:44:33,520 should treat each other with respect as 1073 00:44:40,870 --> 00:44:37,599 equal members of the human species 1074 00:44:43,430 --> 00:44:40,880 and so my hope is that finding relics of 1075 00:44:44,550 --> 00:44:43,440 a more intelligent culture would inspire 1076 00:44:46,550 --> 00:44:44,560 us 1077 00:44:48,230 --> 00:44:46,560 to behave better 1078 00:44:50,950 --> 00:44:48,240 thank you i'm actually reading 1079 00:44:52,870 --> 00:44:50,960 extraterrestrial right now 1080 00:44:54,950 --> 00:44:52,880 i'm about two-thirds into the book and i 1081 00:44:56,710 --> 00:44:54,960 i'm enjoying it immensely 1082 00:44:58,550 --> 00:44:56,720 so that this is a plug 1083 00:45:01,109 --> 00:44:58,560 for your book uh but you know one of the 1084 00:45:02,870 --> 00:45:01,119 things i i find interesting um you know 1085 00:45:04,390 --> 00:45:02,880 the sse 1086 00:45:07,190 --> 00:45:04,400 we are you know we provide a 1087 00:45:08,390 --> 00:45:07,200 professional forum for topics that cross 1088 00:45:10,230 --> 00:45:08,400 disciplines 1089 00:45:11,670 --> 00:45:10,240 for topics that don't quite have a 1090 00:45:13,030 --> 00:45:11,680 scientific home 1091 00:45:15,430 --> 00:45:13,040 but also 1092 00:45:17,750 --> 00:45:15,440 for discussion of those factors 1093 00:45:20,309 --> 00:45:17,760 that limit the scope of scientific 1094 00:45:23,030 --> 00:45:20,319 inquiry uh whether that be 1095 00:45:25,270 --> 00:45:23,040 sociological constraints theoretical 1096 00:45:27,829 --> 00:45:25,280 assumptions and so when i'm reading your 1097 00:45:30,390 --> 00:45:27,839 book one thing i'm really enjoying 1098 00:45:32,470 --> 00:45:30,400 is um you kind of you have a perspective 1099 00:45:33,750 --> 00:45:32,480 that i a fresh way of saying things that 1100 00:45:35,589 --> 00:45:33,760 i'm not familiar with even though i've 1101 00:45:37,430 --> 00:45:35,599 been working in edge science fields for 1102 00:45:39,910 --> 00:45:37,440 almost 20 years 1103 00:45:41,510 --> 00:45:39,920 about you know public science about 1104 00:45:43,990 --> 00:45:41,520 public scholarship 1105 00:45:46,390 --> 00:45:44,000 um and and about you know some of those 1106 00:45:47,589 --> 00:45:46,400 factors that that do limit scientific 1107 00:45:49,510 --> 00:45:47,599 inquiry 1108 00:45:51,349 --> 00:45:49,520 one of the analogies that you made and 1109 00:45:53,910 --> 00:45:51,359 forgive me if i'm repeating it 1110 00:45:56,069 --> 00:45:53,920 incorrectly so please correct me but you 1111 00:45:58,470 --> 00:45:56,079 mentioned that when um when it comes to 1112 00:45:59,589 --> 00:45:58,480 this decisions of funding agencies you 1113 00:46:02,630 --> 00:45:59,599 know when we look at our personal 1114 00:46:05,270 --> 00:46:02,640 finances or and and financial reports 1115 00:46:08,150 --> 00:46:05,280 that usually there's about a 20 percent 1116 00:46:09,910 --> 00:46:08,160 that we're willing to to to to have a 1117 00:46:12,470 --> 00:46:09,920 risk on to put some risk in our 1118 00:46:13,910 --> 00:46:12,480 investments on a small percentage uh yet 1119 00:46:15,990 --> 00:46:13,920 we don't see that when it comes to 1120 00:46:17,430 --> 00:46:16,000 public funding of science 1121 00:46:19,109 --> 00:46:17,440 um and so i was wondering if you could 1122 00:46:20,309 --> 00:46:19,119 say a little bit more about that like 1123 00:46:22,630 --> 00:46:20,319 like why do you 1124 00:46:24,710 --> 00:46:22,640 see anybody doing better yeah this is 1125 00:46:27,190 --> 00:46:24,720 really strange because you would expect 1126 00:46:28,710 --> 00:46:27,200 academia to be much more open-minded and 1127 00:46:30,230 --> 00:46:28,720 blue-sky 1128 00:46:31,990 --> 00:46:30,240 oriented but 1129 00:46:34,790 --> 00:46:32,000 what you find is that people are driven 1130 00:46:36,950 --> 00:46:34,800 by the wrong motivation they are driven 1131 00:46:39,829 --> 00:46:36,960 to empower themselves that to improve 1132 00:46:41,910 --> 00:46:39,839 their image not to take risks so that 1133 00:46:43,670 --> 00:46:41,920 they will never make mistakes and you 1134 00:46:45,910 --> 00:46:43,680 know that's the wrong attitude the 1135 00:46:48,950 --> 00:46:45,920 approach in science should be let's 1136 00:46:50,870 --> 00:46:48,960 learn about the world about reality and 1137 00:46:52,309 --> 00:46:50,880 of course we must make some predictions 1138 00:46:54,069 --> 00:46:52,319 that will turn out to be wrong you know 1139 00:46:55,270 --> 00:46:54,079 einstein was wrong three times at the 1140 00:46:57,829 --> 00:46:55,280 end of his 1141 00:46:59,510 --> 00:46:57,839 career and then he he argued that black 1142 00:47:01,510 --> 00:46:59,520 holes do not exist gravitational waves 1143 00:47:03,589 --> 00:47:01,520 do not exist quantum mechanics doesn't 1144 00:47:05,030 --> 00:47:03,599 have spooky action at the distance but 1145 00:47:07,910 --> 00:47:05,040 that's because he worked on the 1146 00:47:10,950 --> 00:47:07,920 frontiers and we need to accept that and 1147 00:47:14,790 --> 00:47:10,960 instead what you see nowadays is a 1148 00:47:16,790 --> 00:47:14,800 tendency to win honors awards to be 1149 00:47:18,550 --> 00:47:16,800 respected to be liked 1150 00:47:21,270 --> 00:47:18,560 on social media 1151 00:47:24,470 --> 00:47:21,280 and what that means is that you take 1152 00:47:26,150 --> 00:47:24,480 very few risks so for example in the uh 1153 00:47:28,390 --> 00:47:26,160 in the context of theoretical physics 1154 00:47:30,549 --> 00:47:28,400 there are speculative ideas about the 1155 00:47:32,870 --> 00:47:30,559 string theory landscape about the 1156 00:47:35,589 --> 00:47:32,880 multiverse about extra dimensions and 1157 00:47:37,990 --> 00:47:35,599 you ask yourself how come people engage 1158 00:47:40,390 --> 00:47:38,000 in this for several decades as the 1159 00:47:42,390 --> 00:47:40,400 mainstream and take it seriously and 1160 00:47:44,710 --> 00:47:42,400 give each other rewards for just solving 1161 00:47:46,870 --> 00:47:44,720 some equations and doing fancy math and 1162 00:47:49,270 --> 00:47:46,880 the answer is because their objective is 1163 00:47:51,430 --> 00:47:49,280 to look smart that's their objective not 1164 00:47:53,670 --> 00:47:51,440 to understand the world and they don't 1165 00:47:55,829 --> 00:47:53,680 put any skin in the game they don't make 1166 00:47:58,150 --> 00:47:55,839 a prediction that can be proven wrong 1167 00:47:59,750 --> 00:47:58,160 and that they have a common thread with 1168 00:48:01,990 --> 00:47:59,760 the community of conservative 1169 00:48:04,230 --> 00:48:02,000 astronomers that would say forget about 1170 00:48:06,790 --> 00:48:04,240 the unusual properties of 1171 00:48:09,990 --> 00:48:06,800 we don't want to discuss it it's natural 1172 00:48:12,470 --> 00:48:10,000 and the end of the story uh and 1173 00:48:14,390 --> 00:48:12,480 i i find a common thread here which is 1174 00:48:17,510 --> 00:48:14,400 not to pay attention to evidences 1175 00:48:18,309 --> 00:48:17,520 guiding us and the one analogy i make is 1176 00:48:20,630 --> 00:48:18,319 with 1177 00:48:22,390 --> 00:48:20,640 bernie madoff you know he claimed 1178 00:48:24,470 --> 00:48:22,400 uh that he can make more money if you 1179 00:48:26,150 --> 00:48:24,480 give him your money he will make more of 1180 00:48:28,870 --> 00:48:26,160 it irrespective of what the stock market 1181 00:48:31,030 --> 00:48:28,880 does and the people were happy with that 1182 00:48:32,870 --> 00:48:31,040 idea it was a beautiful idea just like 1183 00:48:35,190 --> 00:48:32,880 the idea of the multiverse you know it's 1184 00:48:37,270 --> 00:48:35,200 a beautiful idea i don't argue with the 1185 00:48:38,950 --> 00:48:37,280 fact that it's beautiful and people were 1186 00:48:40,630 --> 00:48:38,960 so happy about the beautiful idea of 1187 00:48:42,390 --> 00:48:40,640 bernie madoff that they gave him their 1188 00:48:44,710 --> 00:48:42,400 money what could be better evidence than 1189 00:48:46,950 --> 00:48:44,720 that and then he was very happy because 1190 00:48:49,430 --> 00:48:46,960 they gave him his their money so he 1191 00:48:51,589 --> 00:48:49,440 could use it and everyone was happy 1192 00:48:53,670 --> 00:48:51,599 until they did the experiment which was 1193 00:48:55,829 --> 00:48:53,680 to ask for their money back and when 1194 00:48:57,190 --> 00:48:55,839 they did the experiment he was put in 1195 00:48:59,190 --> 00:48:57,200 jail now 1196 00:49:01,349 --> 00:48:59,200 at the only way for us to figure out if 1197 00:49:03,910 --> 00:49:01,359 an idea that looks beautiful to all of 1198 00:49:06,309 --> 00:49:03,920 us to everyone on social media to all 1199 00:49:07,829 --> 00:49:06,319 the tweets that like it 1200 00:49:11,270 --> 00:49:07,839 the only way for us to figure out if 1201 00:49:12,630 --> 00:49:11,280 it's real or not is to do an experiment 1202 00:49:14,870 --> 00:49:12,640 because we want to figure out whether 1203 00:49:16,710 --> 00:49:14,880 it's a ponzi scheme or not it could be 1204 00:49:18,150 --> 00:49:16,720 beautiful but it could still be a ponzi 1205 00:49:19,990 --> 00:49:18,160 scheme and 1206 00:49:21,910 --> 00:49:20,000 how do we figure it out by doing the 1207 00:49:23,510 --> 00:49:21,920 experiment now if you shy away from 1208 00:49:25,109 --> 00:49:23,520 experiments because you don't want to 1209 00:49:27,430 --> 00:49:25,119 put any skin in the game you don't want 1210 00:49:28,870 --> 00:49:27,440 to risk your reputation you shy away 1211 00:49:31,910 --> 00:49:28,880 from that you do just mathematical 1212 00:49:34,710 --> 00:49:31,920 gymnastics basically ask how many angels 1213 00:49:35,910 --> 00:49:34,720 can dance on the tip of a pin in 10 1214 00:49:37,510 --> 00:49:35,920 dimensions 1215 00:49:39,910 --> 00:49:37,520 it's a beautiful question you can 1216 00:49:41,829 --> 00:49:39,920 develop fancy math to 1217 00:49:43,990 --> 00:49:41,839 you know describe the the dance of the 1218 00:49:45,990 --> 00:49:44,000 angels on the tip of a pin it's not 1219 00:49:48,069 --> 00:49:46,000 relevant to anything that 1220 00:49:49,109 --> 00:49:48,079 you know touches on the daily lives of 1221 00:49:51,990 --> 00:49:49,119 people 1222 00:49:54,470 --> 00:49:52,000 and on the other hand if there is 1223 00:49:56,230 --> 00:49:54,480 a smarter kid on our cosmic block that 1224 00:49:59,190 --> 00:49:56,240 would have a huge impact on the future 1225 00:50:01,910 --> 00:49:59,200 of society and you find ridicule and 1226 00:50:03,990 --> 00:50:01,920 push back on discussing that and i ask 1227 00:50:06,150 --> 00:50:04,000 you how is that possible something is 1228 00:50:08,549 --> 00:50:06,160 really wrong with the current culture in 1229 00:50:10,950 --> 00:50:08,559 academia and the way i see it you know 1230 00:50:13,349 --> 00:50:10,960 it reminds me when i was a kid the most 1231 00:50:14,150 --> 00:50:13,359 vivid memory i have from my childhood 1232 00:50:16,870 --> 00:50:14,160 was 1233 00:50:19,190 --> 00:50:16,880 attending dinner and asking a difficult 1234 00:50:20,870 --> 00:50:19,200 question and then the adults in the room 1235 00:50:22,470 --> 00:50:20,880 would pretend that they know much more 1236 00:50:25,270 --> 00:50:22,480 than they actually know 1237 00:50:27,349 --> 00:50:25,280 and then that was the good experience 1238 00:50:29,190 --> 00:50:27,359 the bad experience was when the adults 1239 00:50:30,870 --> 00:50:29,200 would simply ridicule the question 1240 00:50:32,150 --> 00:50:30,880 dismiss it simply because they didn't 1241 00:50:35,030 --> 00:50:32,160 know the answer 1242 00:50:37,910 --> 00:50:35,040 and i thought that by entering science i 1243 00:50:40,309 --> 00:50:37,920 would be surrounded by like-minded 1244 00:50:43,270 --> 00:50:40,319 people that want to figure out the world 1245 00:50:46,150 --> 00:50:43,280 without putting their ego first 1246 00:50:48,309 --> 00:50:46,160 okay and unfortunately what i find is a 1247 00:50:49,349 --> 00:50:48,319 completely different reality i basically 1248 00:50:52,790 --> 00:50:49,359 uh 1249 00:50:55,750 --> 00:50:52,800 get a deja vu feeling when i interact 1250 00:50:59,910 --> 00:50:55,760 with people in academia these days of 1251 00:51:01,430 --> 00:50:59,920 the way i felt when i was a child 1252 00:51:03,430 --> 00:51:01,440 yeah that's a really good analogy that 1253 00:51:05,589 --> 00:51:03,440 makes a lot of sense um we've got a lot 1254 00:51:09,190 --> 00:51:05,599 of questions lined up here 1255 00:51:11,270 --> 00:51:09,200 um so here's this is a quick one uh what 1256 00:51:13,109 --> 00:51:11,280 is the status of the breakthrough 1257 00:51:15,829 --> 00:51:13,119 starshot effort 1258 00:51:19,270 --> 00:51:15,839 so we defined the three challenges that 1259 00:51:21,829 --> 00:51:19,280 are the major ones to address first and 1260 00:51:24,710 --> 00:51:21,839 those are uh first 1261 00:51:26,950 --> 00:51:24,720 how to develop the laser beam such that 1262 00:51:29,750 --> 00:51:26,960 you know we can combine many small power 1263 00:51:32,630 --> 00:51:29,760 lasers into one coherent beam that we 1264 00:51:35,270 --> 00:51:32,640 call the photon engine and we have an 1265 00:51:37,030 --> 00:51:35,280 effort on that we allocated funds to 1266 00:51:39,510 --> 00:51:37,040 individual research groups trying to 1267 00:51:40,309 --> 00:51:39,520 address that then the second challenge 1268 00:51:42,790 --> 00:51:40,319 is 1269 00:51:44,950 --> 00:51:42,800 uh the light sale uh finding the right 1270 00:51:47,190 --> 00:51:44,960 material and the shape of the light cell 1271 00:51:49,829 --> 00:51:47,200 that's the second challenge for which we 1272 00:51:52,390 --> 00:51:49,839 awarded about more than a dozen or two 1273 00:51:53,750 --> 00:51:52,400 dozen grants already 1274 00:51:55,990 --> 00:51:53,760 and then the third challenge is 1275 00:51:58,950 --> 00:51:56,000 communication which we just awarded 1276 00:52:01,510 --> 00:51:58,960 there's some grants recently um how to 1277 00:52:04,069 --> 00:52:01,520 communicate across four light years so 1278 00:52:05,990 --> 00:52:04,079 we are still in the phase where we hope 1279 00:52:08,150 --> 00:52:06,000 to bring together the conclusions from 1280 00:52:10,150 --> 00:52:08,160 these early studies and see 1281 00:52:12,549 --> 00:52:10,160 if there is any showstopper that's 1282 00:52:14,870 --> 00:52:12,559 that's the main question if if something 1283 00:52:17,270 --> 00:52:14,880 looks completely 1284 00:52:18,790 --> 00:52:17,280 infeasible unfeasible you know not 1285 00:52:19,510 --> 00:52:18,800 practical then 1286 00:52:21,990 --> 00:52:19,520 we 1287 00:52:24,390 --> 00:52:22,000 might decide to give up on this but so 1288 00:52:26,790 --> 00:52:24,400 far it doesn't look that way and 1289 00:52:29,030 --> 00:52:26,800 we have various suggestions for solving 1290 00:52:30,150 --> 00:52:29,040 these challenges 1291 00:52:32,150 --> 00:52:30,160 okay 1292 00:52:34,630 --> 00:52:32,160 um another question is about the general 1293 00:52:36,710 --> 00:52:34,640 attitude of the international community 1294 00:52:39,430 --> 00:52:36,720 has it changed somewhat in recent years 1295 00:52:41,349 --> 00:52:39,440 uh regarding for instance the pentagon 1296 00:52:43,190 --> 00:52:41,359 videos uh with regard to 1297 00:52:45,030 --> 00:52:43,200 extraterrestrial life 1298 00:52:47,589 --> 00:52:45,040 no i mean i i wouldn't say that it 1299 00:52:48,630 --> 00:52:47,599 changed um what i would say is that the 1300 00:52:51,670 --> 00:52:48,640 public 1301 00:52:53,910 --> 00:52:51,680 has its heart in the right place uh and 1302 00:52:56,549 --> 00:52:53,920 of course the government did change the 1303 00:52:58,309 --> 00:52:56,559 tone of its discussions on this subject 1304 00:53:00,390 --> 00:52:58,319 the latest development is the congress 1305 00:53:02,470 --> 00:53:00,400 asking to establish this department that 1306 00:53:05,430 --> 00:53:02,480 will deal with unidentified aerial 1307 00:53:07,430 --> 00:53:05,440 phenomena and what i'm 1308 00:53:09,829 --> 00:53:07,440 trying to change is through the galileo 1309 00:53:12,069 --> 00:53:09,839 project to bring this subject into the 1310 00:53:13,829 --> 00:53:12,079 mainstream of science and it's still 1311 00:53:15,990 --> 00:53:13,839 being ridiculous 1312 00:53:18,790 --> 00:53:16,000 this project is funded by 1313 00:53:20,549 --> 00:53:18,800 donations that we're not allocating this 1314 00:53:23,030 --> 00:53:20,559 these funds to anything 1315 00:53:24,390 --> 00:53:23,040 else you know that's new money so to 1316 00:53:25,430 --> 00:53:24,400 speak 1317 00:53:27,750 --> 00:53:25,440 and 1318 00:53:29,190 --> 00:53:27,760 moreover we are seeking evidence you 1319 00:53:31,349 --> 00:53:29,200 know that's is 1320 00:53:34,470 --> 00:53:31,359 the natural way that science progresses 1321 00:53:36,630 --> 00:53:34,480 by evidence so i cannot understand why a 1322 00:53:39,750 --> 00:53:36,640 scientist would have a problem with this 1323 00:53:41,589 --> 00:53:39,760 project that is funded by donations that 1324 00:53:42,630 --> 00:53:41,599 were not allocating funds to science 1325 00:53:43,670 --> 00:53:42,640 before 1326 00:53:46,470 --> 00:53:43,680 and 1327 00:53:48,790 --> 00:53:46,480 that is trying to seek evidence to me it 1328 00:53:51,349 --> 00:53:48,800 sounds like a win-win proposition 1329 00:53:54,069 --> 00:53:51,359 nevertheless you know we don't get 1330 00:53:57,270 --> 00:53:54,079 support from uh many people but there 1331 00:53:59,190 --> 00:53:57,280 are uh 70 scientists engaged in the 1332 00:54:01,510 --> 00:53:59,200 project and are very enthusiastic about 1333 00:54:04,470 --> 00:54:01,520 it so my hope is this will break the ice 1334 00:54:07,430 --> 00:54:04,480 and change the way that this subject is 1335 00:54:09,270 --> 00:54:07,440 treated because you know i don't regard 1336 00:54:11,829 --> 00:54:09,280 it as more speculative than the search 1337 00:54:14,069 --> 00:54:11,839 for weakly interacting massive particles 1338 00:54:16,630 --> 00:54:14,079 is the dark matter which hasn't found 1339 00:54:19,030 --> 00:54:16,640 them yet 1340 00:54:21,190 --> 00:54:19,040 so we have a question a raised hand from 1341 00:54:28,069 --> 00:54:21,200 one of our student members so i'm gonna 1342 00:54:31,750 --> 00:54:29,510 hey um 1343 00:54:33,430 --> 00:54:31,760 so i had a comment about einstein he was 1344 00:54:35,510 --> 00:54:33,440 wrong a lot more than three times with 1345 00:54:38,870 --> 00:54:35,520 all the teleparalism and all those but 1346 00:54:40,470 --> 00:54:38,880 um as a question i guess 1347 00:54:41,670 --> 00:54:40,480 it's more a question of tone and 1348 00:54:44,150 --> 00:54:41,680 humbleness than necessarily like 1349 00:54:45,829 --> 00:54:44,160 scientific fact is so you convinced me 1350 00:54:47,190 --> 00:54:45,839 that um 1351 00:54:48,870 --> 00:54:47,200 there's very compelling evidence that 1352 00:54:49,990 --> 00:54:48,880 there's an anomaly that we can't explain 1353 00:54:50,829 --> 00:54:50,000 with you know 1354 00:54:53,270 --> 00:54:50,839 any 1355 00:54:55,270 --> 00:54:53,280 conceivable current theory we're going 1356 00:54:57,030 --> 00:54:55,280 to these very elaborate speculative 1357 00:54:58,789 --> 00:54:57,040 hydrogen icebergs to try and explain it 1358 00:54:59,990 --> 00:54:58,799 but there's also i think 1359 00:55:01,109 --> 00:55:00,000 at least to me there's an equivalent 1360 00:55:03,910 --> 00:55:01,119 danger of 1361 00:55:05,510 --> 00:55:03,920 generalizing on one anomaly to these 1362 00:55:07,670 --> 00:55:05,520 very very large metaphysical 1363 00:55:09,430 --> 00:55:07,680 implications of there are aliens that 1364 00:55:11,190 --> 00:55:09,440 have obviously a very big impact in the 1365 00:55:12,710 --> 00:55:11,200 public and i guess the question is you 1366 00:55:14,390 --> 00:55:12,720 know 1367 00:55:16,390 --> 00:55:14,400 obviously we have to be very careful 1368 00:55:18,150 --> 00:55:16,400 with the facts and and trust them and 1369 00:55:19,670 --> 00:55:18,160 follow them but how do we 1370 00:55:21,349 --> 00:55:19,680 avoid our own hubris and think just 1371 00:55:22,710 --> 00:55:21,359 because we haven't come up with a 1372 00:55:23,990 --> 00:55:22,720 plausible explanation for this that's 1373 00:55:25,750 --> 00:55:24,000 not there so i guess it's just like the 1374 00:55:26,950 --> 00:55:25,760 tone of how we present this as we search 1375 00:55:29,750 --> 00:55:26,960 for more evidence is kind of what i'm 1376 00:55:32,390 --> 00:55:29,760 interested in well okay so science is 1377 00:55:35,510 --> 00:55:32,400 not about so much the presentation it's 1378 00:55:37,270 --> 00:55:35,520 about reality okay so yeah my my point 1379 00:55:38,870 --> 00:55:37,280 about this object is that it's 1380 00:55:42,069 --> 00:55:38,880 intriguing enough 1381 00:55:43,990 --> 00:55:42,079 to motivate us to get better data 1382 00:55:47,030 --> 00:55:44,000 on future objects that belong to the 1383 00:55:49,030 --> 00:55:47,040 same class and that's all that's all so 1384 00:55:51,109 --> 00:55:49,040 the bottom line from this is get more 1385 00:55:52,870 --> 00:55:51,119 evidence get a high resolution image 1386 00:55:53,750 --> 00:55:52,880 from a spacecraft that 1387 00:55:56,710 --> 00:55:53,760 uh 1388 00:55:58,470 --> 00:55:56,720 flies close to a future object that 1389 00:56:00,950 --> 00:55:58,480 doesn't look like a comet or an asteroid 1390 00:56:02,710 --> 00:56:00,960 similar to omuamua that comes from 1391 00:56:06,309 --> 00:56:02,720 interstellar space and get a high 1392 00:56:11,270 --> 00:56:09,030 let's not assume that it's natural let's 1393 00:56:12,710 --> 00:56:11,280 just say it's very intriguing and by the 1394 00:56:14,309 --> 00:56:12,720 way that's the approach of a kid you 1395 00:56:16,710 --> 00:56:14,319 know a kid sees something unusual it 1396 00:56:19,109 --> 00:56:16,720 says what is it let's find out whereas 1397 00:56:22,150 --> 00:56:19,119 the adult says ah it must be something 1398 00:56:23,829 --> 00:56:22,160 that i've seen before and my point is 1399 00:56:25,670 --> 00:56:23,839 you know we we will never learn 1400 00:56:27,750 --> 00:56:25,680 something new if we approach everything 1401 00:56:30,470 --> 00:56:27,760 that doesn't line up with our 1402 00:56:33,750 --> 00:56:30,480 uh prejudice you know and it reminds me 1403 00:56:37,349 --> 00:56:33,760 of a phd thesis defense that i attended 1404 00:56:39,270 --> 00:56:37,359 at harvard where the student was saying 1405 00:56:40,069 --> 00:56:39,280 this is the predict you know i worked 1406 00:56:41,990 --> 00:56:40,079 for 1407 00:56:44,789 --> 00:56:42,000 several years on the prediction from the 1408 00:56:46,950 --> 00:56:44,799 standard model of cosmology 1409 00:56:49,910 --> 00:56:46,960 with respect to this future 1410 00:56:51,829 --> 00:56:49,920 data okay and i said okay now suppose 1411 00:56:53,670 --> 00:56:51,839 the data doesn't agree with what you 1412 00:56:55,589 --> 00:56:53,680 calculated 1413 00:56:57,750 --> 00:56:55,599 would you conclude would you conclude 1414 00:56:58,470 --> 00:56:57,760 that the standard model is wrong and she 1415 00:57:01,109 --> 00:56:58,480 said 1416 00:57:02,950 --> 00:57:01,119 no it may be that something in my 1417 00:57:04,789 --> 00:57:02,960 assumptions is wrong and i say to myself 1418 00:57:06,710 --> 00:57:04,799 that's not a honest scientific 1419 00:57:08,789 --> 00:57:06,720 discussion 1420 00:57:10,309 --> 00:57:08,799 you know the same happened with a senior 1421 00:57:11,910 --> 00:57:10,319 person that talked about string theory 1422 00:57:14,069 --> 00:57:11,920 he gave a talk talking connected string 1423 00:57:16,789 --> 00:57:14,079 theory to the early universe and i said 1424 00:57:18,710 --> 00:57:16,799 oh that's great now if we find something 1425 00:57:20,549 --> 00:57:18,720 that contradicts your predictions about 1426 00:57:23,030 --> 00:57:20,559 the early universe will that rule out 1427 00:57:25,109 --> 00:57:23,040 string theory and he said no it will 1428 00:57:27,589 --> 00:57:25,119 just rule out the connection that i made 1429 00:57:29,510 --> 00:57:27,599 string theory always be right and that 1430 00:57:31,510 --> 00:57:29,520 me that to me and by the way it keeps 1431 00:57:33,109 --> 00:57:31,520 repeating and also in the context of 1432 00:57:35,829 --> 00:57:33,119 you know people said it's a natural 1433 00:57:38,870 --> 00:57:35,839 object and then a few months later they 1434 00:57:40,549 --> 00:57:38,880 said oh no wait maybe it's a hydrogen 1435 00:57:41,990 --> 00:57:40,559 iceberg maybe it's a nitrogen iceberg 1436 00:57:43,430 --> 00:57:42,000 maybe it's a death bunny these were 1437 00:57:46,789 --> 00:57:43,440 different groups of people i say to 1438 00:57:49,430 --> 00:57:46,799 myself how can it be that a big group of 1439 00:57:51,990 --> 00:57:49,440 leaders on the interpretation of rocks 1440 00:57:54,470 --> 00:57:52,000 would declare it natural before other 1441 00:57:56,950 --> 00:57:54,480 people would say would write full papers 1442 00:57:58,470 --> 00:57:56,960 multiple papers 1443 00:58:01,990 --> 00:57:58,480 so i'm saying the scientific 1444 00:58:04,230 --> 00:58:02,000 deliberation currently is not honest 1445 00:58:06,630 --> 00:58:04,240 that's my basic point 1446 00:58:08,789 --> 00:58:06,640 those mainstream people they want the 1447 00:58:10,470 --> 00:58:08,799 conclusion to hold irrespective of the 1448 00:58:13,430 --> 00:58:10,480 facts and what we need is to get more 1449 00:58:15,109 --> 00:58:13,440 facts more evidence that's all thanks 1450 00:58:17,589 --> 00:58:15,119 yeah thank you paul for your question 1451 00:58:19,430 --> 00:58:17,599 this is don crosby donder who is one of 1452 00:58:21,109 --> 00:58:19,440 our full members and so i will hand him 1453 00:58:23,030 --> 00:58:21,119 the mic 1454 00:58:25,349 --> 00:58:23,040 so much professor loeb and i already 1455 00:58:27,190 --> 00:58:25,359 know each other online and so this is 1456 00:58:29,270 --> 00:58:27,200 not our first acquaintance and i don't 1457 00:58:31,349 --> 00:58:29,280 have anything to say except positive 1458 00:58:33,190 --> 00:58:31,359 things about professor loeb's talk i 1459 00:58:36,069 --> 00:58:33,200 just wanted to point out that the 1460 00:58:38,390 --> 00:58:36,079 evidence for extraterrestrial presence 1461 00:58:41,510 --> 00:58:38,400 collected by other kinds of instruments 1462 00:58:44,549 --> 00:58:41,520 cameras radars and eyewitness testimony 1463 00:58:46,789 --> 00:58:44,559 goes back at least to 1946 and actually 1464 00:58:49,910 --> 00:58:46,799 i've studied some of that evidence 1465 00:58:51,270 --> 00:58:49,920 in hypothesis testing experiments two of 1466 00:58:53,349 --> 00:58:51,280 which have been published in the journal 1467 00:58:56,069 --> 00:58:53,359 of scientific exploration uh that's all 1468 00:58:58,950 --> 00:58:56,079 i have to say it's just that the uh 1469 00:59:01,430 --> 00:58:58,960 amana evidence is new the ufo evidence 1470 00:59:02,950 --> 00:59:01,440 or so-called ufo evidence is not new and 1471 00:59:04,950 --> 00:59:02,960 a lot of it has been verified thanks 1472 00:59:06,549 --> 00:59:04,960 very much i've enjoyed the talk and what 1473 00:59:08,710 --> 00:59:06,559 i think is really that we need to 1474 00:59:09,990 --> 00:59:08,720 collect more evidence that will convince 1475 00:59:11,589 --> 00:59:10,000 the mainstream of the scientific 1476 00:59:13,430 --> 00:59:11,599 community that's my approach basically 1477 00:59:15,910 --> 00:59:13,440 with the galileo project so 1478 00:59:17,829 --> 00:59:15,920 my goal is really to bring it to the 1479 00:59:19,349 --> 00:59:17,839 forefront of science rather than being 1480 00:59:20,789 --> 00:59:19,359 ridiculed by scientists which is 1481 00:59:24,950 --> 00:59:20,799 inappropriate i completely agree with 1482 00:59:30,789 --> 00:59:27,750 okay i'm going to now 1483 00:59:32,390 --> 00:59:30,799 pass pass the mic to michael nunn 1484 00:59:33,910 --> 00:59:32,400 hello 1485 00:59:35,670 --> 00:59:33,920 thank you very much for your talk i 1486 00:59:37,750 --> 00:59:35,680 really enjoyed it very much and also 1487 00:59:41,349 --> 00:59:37,760 like your attitude towards science and 1488 00:59:42,589 --> 00:59:41,359 scientists now my question is about 1489 00:59:44,950 --> 00:59:42,599 the 1490 00:59:49,030 --> 00:59:44,960 phenomenology of ufos 1491 00:59:53,510 --> 00:59:49,040 who behave rather weird they move in 1492 00:59:56,470 --> 00:59:53,520 weird ways they may disappear and 1493 00:59:59,030 --> 00:59:56,480 appear again so my question is do you 1494 01:00:00,789 --> 00:59:59,040 know these hyper spatial models of your 1495 01:00:02,630 --> 01:00:00,799 colleague bernard carr who is a 1496 01:00:05,270 --> 01:00:02,640 professor of astronomy and at the 1497 01:00:07,910 --> 01:00:05,280 university in london and might it be 1498 01:00:10,549 --> 01:00:07,920 possible that these objects also can 1499 01:00:13,190 --> 01:00:10,559 travel faster than light maybe using 1500 01:00:15,430 --> 01:00:13,200 these types of physics we don't even 1501 01:00:17,190 --> 01:00:15,440 know yet so that we might even be able 1502 01:00:19,430 --> 01:00:17,200 to accelerate this 1503 01:00:21,270 --> 01:00:19,440 process of checking out our universe and 1504 01:00:22,549 --> 01:00:21,280 our neighborhood instead of relying on 1505 01:00:24,789 --> 01:00:22,559 these um 1506 01:00:26,069 --> 01:00:24,799 rather conventional physical 1507 01:00:28,069 --> 01:00:26,079 technologies 1508 01:00:30,710 --> 01:00:28,079 yeah i mean it's definitely possible 1509 01:00:31,829 --> 01:00:30,720 that we will end up finding that 1510 01:00:36,069 --> 01:00:31,839 they are 1511 01:00:38,309 --> 01:00:36,079 we do not possess that in fact they they 1512 01:00:40,470 --> 01:00:38,319 violate what we know about 1513 01:00:41,349 --> 01:00:40,480 the standard model of physics 1514 01:00:43,109 --> 01:00:41,359 but 1515 01:00:44,950 --> 01:00:43,119 the way that the galileo project will 1516 01:00:46,950 --> 01:00:44,960 approach it is trying without any 1517 01:00:48,630 --> 01:00:46,960 prejudice without any assumptions 1518 01:00:50,150 --> 01:00:48,640 collecting the data and seeing how they 1519 01:00:52,309 --> 01:00:50,160 move now 1520 01:00:53,910 --> 01:00:52,319 i saw a lot of incorrect statements in 1521 01:00:56,549 --> 01:00:53,920 the you know 1522 01:00:58,630 --> 01:00:56,559 out there of peeping people saying oh 1523 01:00:59,829 --> 01:00:58,640 they move very fast and therefore they 1524 01:01:01,670 --> 01:00:59,839 must be 1525 01:01:03,750 --> 01:01:01,680 uh violating the laws of physics that's 1526 01:01:06,150 --> 01:01:03,760 not true because for example uh 1527 01:01:10,549 --> 01:01:06,160 artillery shells you know they move at 1528 01:01:12,470 --> 01:01:10,559 100 000 g and they have um 1529 01:01:13,349 --> 01:01:12,480 electronic equipment 1530 01:01:15,510 --> 01:01:13,359 so 1531 01:01:16,549 --> 01:01:15,520 we ourself are producing 1532 01:01:17,349 --> 01:01:16,559 um 1533 01:01:19,589 --> 01:01:17,359 you know 1534 01:01:22,549 --> 01:01:19,599 objects that can sustain very high 1535 01:01:24,150 --> 01:01:22,559 accelerations with electronics in them 1536 01:01:26,309 --> 01:01:24,160 it doesn't violate the laws of physics 1537 01:01:27,510 --> 01:01:26,319 but if something moves faster than light 1538 01:01:29,270 --> 01:01:27,520 as you said 1539 01:01:31,750 --> 01:01:29,280 that would violate what we know from 1540 01:01:33,510 --> 01:01:31,760 einstein's theory of special relativity 1541 01:01:35,349 --> 01:01:33,520 and that would be really intriguing so 1542 01:01:37,910 --> 01:01:35,359 the way we approach it with the galileo 1543 01:01:40,549 --> 01:01:37,920 project is not to assume anything just 1544 01:01:42,710 --> 01:01:40,559 monitor the motion of these objects and 1545 01:01:45,109 --> 01:01:42,720 get a high resolution image if if 1546 01:01:47,510 --> 01:01:45,119 possible and and then we can analyze the 1547 01:01:49,190 --> 01:01:47,520 data in an open way so everyone can see 1548 01:01:51,670 --> 01:01:49,200 the data it will not be classified 1549 01:01:53,829 --> 01:01:51,680 because the sky is not classified 1550 01:01:55,990 --> 01:01:53,839 and the first assumption would be let's 1551 01:01:58,789 --> 01:01:56,000 try to explain what we see using the 1552 01:02:01,430 --> 01:01:58,799 standard model of physics if we can't it 1553 01:02:02,950 --> 01:02:01,440 would be even a more major discovery not 1554 01:02:05,270 --> 01:02:02,960 only we will find 1555 01:02:07,829 --> 01:02:05,280 something new about our neighbors you 1556 01:02:10,390 --> 01:02:07,839 know but we will also find something new 1557 01:02:13,190 --> 01:02:10,400 about physics which i should say is of 1558 01:02:15,510 --> 01:02:13,200 greater significance because it would 1559 01:02:17,829 --> 01:02:15,520 imply that we understand reality the 1560 01:02:19,349 --> 01:02:17,839 physical laws of nature 1561 01:02:22,150 --> 01:02:19,359 that should apply everywhere in the 1562 01:02:24,470 --> 01:02:22,160 universe in a different way and 1563 01:02:26,470 --> 01:02:24,480 you know i want to do it in steps at 1564 01:02:28,390 --> 01:02:26,480 first assume that the standard laws of 1565 01:02:30,710 --> 01:02:28,400 physics apply and then if we see a 1566 01:02:32,789 --> 01:02:30,720 violation of them conclusively you know 1567 01:02:36,309 --> 01:02:32,799 without any doubt based on all the data 1568 01:02:38,549 --> 01:02:36,319 we have we will report that definitely 1569 01:02:41,589 --> 01:02:38,559 make sense thank you 1570 01:02:44,390 --> 01:02:41,599 thank you michael uh so we do have a 1571 01:02:46,390 --> 01:02:44,400 winning question 1572 01:02:47,990 --> 01:02:46,400 what is what relationship do you have 1573 01:02:49,750 --> 01:02:48,000 with the study group and do you 1574 01:02:51,430 --> 01:02:49,760 coordinate with such groups well that's 1575 01:02:53,430 --> 01:02:51,440 really interesting that's an excellent 1576 01:02:55,349 --> 01:02:53,440 question because 1577 01:02:56,230 --> 01:02:55,359 what i found well first of all i should 1578 01:02:58,069 --> 01:02:56,240 say 1579 01:03:01,510 --> 01:02:58,079 for 70 years we've been searching for 1580 01:03:03,430 --> 01:03:01,520 radio signals and laser beams 1581 01:03:05,270 --> 01:03:03,440 and we didn't find any 1582 01:03:08,470 --> 01:03:05,280 um and 1583 01:03:10,230 --> 01:03:08,480 uh to me it's like trying to have a fun 1584 01:03:11,750 --> 01:03:10,240 conversation you need the counterpart to 1585 01:03:14,630 --> 01:03:11,760 be active when you are having the 1586 01:03:17,190 --> 01:03:14,640 conversation and uh i think that it may 1587 01:03:19,109 --> 01:03:17,200 be the wrong approach because perhaps 1588 01:03:21,270 --> 01:03:19,119 well for two reasons one 1589 01:03:22,950 --> 01:03:21,280 the civilizations that predated us are 1590 01:03:24,549 --> 01:03:22,960 not around anymore so you can't have a 1591 01:03:26,950 --> 01:03:24,559 conversation you know with an old 1592 01:03:28,150 --> 01:03:26,960 civilization that died by now but 1593 01:03:29,670 --> 01:03:28,160 moreover 1594 01:03:31,510 --> 01:03:29,680 why should they be exactly the same 1595 01:03:33,190 --> 01:03:31,520 technological phase so that we will be 1596 01:03:34,789 --> 01:03:33,200 able to understand their signals you 1597 01:03:37,029 --> 01:03:34,799 know and um 1598 01:03:39,270 --> 01:03:37,039 so um it's possible they're far more 1599 01:03:41,190 --> 01:03:39,280 advanced and we don't really figure out 1600 01:03:43,270 --> 01:03:41,200 that they're actually communicating with 1601 01:03:45,270 --> 01:03:43,280 us in ways that we we don't understand 1602 01:03:47,270 --> 01:03:45,280 you know and um 1603 01:03:49,430 --> 01:03:47,280 so my point is it's a much better 1604 01:03:52,069 --> 01:03:49,440 approach to look for objects that were 1605 01:03:54,390 --> 01:03:52,079 sent because they survived 1606 01:03:55,910 --> 01:03:54,400 billions of years as they travel through 1607 01:03:59,430 --> 01:03:55,920 space and that's a completely different 1608 01:04:01,990 --> 01:03:59,440 approach that was not searched 1609 01:04:04,230 --> 01:04:02,000 as of until the galileo project you know 1610 01:04:05,829 --> 01:04:04,240 so we are really embarking on new 1611 01:04:08,789 --> 01:04:05,839 territory and of course there are the 1612 01:04:10,230 --> 01:04:08,799 uap reports the ufo reports but we are 1613 01:04:12,630 --> 01:04:10,240 trying to bring it 1614 01:04:13,670 --> 01:04:12,640 to the realm of mainstream science by 1615 01:04:14,710 --> 01:04:13,680 using 1616 01:04:17,029 --> 01:04:14,720 in uh 1617 01:04:19,430 --> 01:04:17,039 telescope systems instruments that are 1618 01:04:21,270 --> 01:04:19,440 state of the art to look at the sky i 1619 01:04:24,309 --> 01:04:21,280 was asked by administrators at harvard 1620 01:04:26,870 --> 01:04:24,319 if it relates to my day job this galileo 1621 01:04:29,510 --> 01:04:26,880 project and i basically said throughout 1622 01:04:31,589 --> 01:04:29,520 the decades that i practiced astronomy i 1623 01:04:33,510 --> 01:04:31,599 was interpreting data collected by 1624 01:04:35,910 --> 01:04:33,520 telescopes and that's what the galileo 1625 01:04:38,069 --> 01:04:35,920 project is trying to do collecting data 1626 01:04:40,870 --> 01:04:38,079 there is no lower limit on the distance 1627 01:04:43,510 --> 01:04:40,880 of objects in astronomy we study the sun 1628 01:04:44,549 --> 01:04:43,520 we study meteors we study asteroids and 1629 01:04:46,470 --> 01:04:44,559 so 1630 01:04:49,510 --> 01:04:46,480 trying to figure out the nature of uap 1631 01:04:51,270 --> 01:04:49,520 with telescopes is part of astronomy so 1632 01:04:53,190 --> 01:04:51,280 the administration at harvard agreed and 1633 01:04:56,150 --> 01:04:53,200 that's part of my day job 1634 01:04:57,109 --> 01:04:56,160 and so i hope that by getting better 1635 01:04:59,990 --> 01:04:57,119 data 1636 01:05:02,549 --> 01:05:00,000 we will either see something unusual or 1637 01:05:03,589 --> 01:05:02,559 not but at any event we'll advance our 1638 01:05:06,470 --> 01:05:03,599 knowledge 1639 01:05:08,470 --> 01:05:06,480 uh in a scientific way and bring it to 1640 01:05:09,750 --> 01:05:08,480 the mainstream 1641 01:05:11,270 --> 01:05:09,760 fantastic